First Trust Dow Etf Performance

FDN Etf  USD 268.28  5.87  2.24%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0941, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Trust Dow has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
1
Should You Invest in the First Trust Dow Jones Internet ETF
11/10/2025
2
Strategic Investment Guide - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/04/2025
3
Jim Cramer Says Electric Power Gating And OpenAIs Balance Sheet Will Halt Hyperscaler AI Spending Spree - Benzinga
01/05/2026
4
Investment Analysis and Advice - Stock Traders Daily
01/23/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  28,566  in First Trust Dow on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,738) from holding First Trust Dow or give up 6.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Dow is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.1453% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Dow extending back to June 23, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 268.28, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 268.81 and the lowest price hitting 266.43 during the day.
3 y Volatility
20.05
200 Day MA
264.51
1 y Volatility
19.92
50 Day MA
268.1076
Inception Date
2006-06-19
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 268.28 90 days 268.28 
about 65.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.08 (This First Trust Dow probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.0941. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Dow will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Dow has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Dow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
265.62266.75267.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
255.68256.81293.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
265.20266.33267.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
257.73267.19276.66
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Dow, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
7.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Dow can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Trust Dow generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Analysis and Advice - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks that comprise the index. DJ Internet is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
First Trust Dow generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Analysis and Advice - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether First Trust Dow is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Dow. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
The market value of First Trust Dow is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.