First Trust Dow Etf Volatility
| FDN Etf | USD 241.93 1.27 0.53% |
First Trust appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Trust Dow secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.27, which denotes the etf had a 0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Trust Dow, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize First Trust's Coefficient Of Variation of 377.54, mean deviation of 0.7652, and Downside Deviation of 1.15 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to First Trust's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
First Trust Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First Trust volatility.
First |
First Trust Dow Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which First Trust etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First Trust's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First Trust's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First Trust's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures First Trust's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First Trust's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First Trust's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First Trust's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. First Trust Dow Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
First Trust Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.0032 . This usually indicates First Trust Dow market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Trust or First Trust sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Trust's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First Trust Dow has an alpha of 0.1508, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a First Trust Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.First Trust Etf Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of First Trust is 374.46. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.15 and standard deviation of 1.07. The mean deviation of First Trust Dow is currently at 0.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
First Trust Etf Return Volatility
First Trust historical daily return volatility represents how much of First Trust etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF has volatility of 1.0719% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7762% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About First Trust Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of First Trust or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First Trust may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First Trust and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First Trust fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize First Trust's volatility to invest better
Higher First Trust's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First Trust Dow etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First Trust Dow etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First Trust Dow investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First Trust's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First Trust's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
First Trust Investment Opportunity
First Trust Dow has a volatility of 1.07 and is 1.37 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 9 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First Trust. You can use First Trust Dow to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of First Trust to be traded at $266.12 in 90 days.Poor diversification
The correlation between First Trust Dow and DJI is 0.72 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Trust Dow and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
First Trust Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Trust's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Trust's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First Trust etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2059 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2811 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7652 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8028 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 377.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First Trust Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First Trust as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First Trust's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First Trust's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First Trust Dow.
When determining whether First Trust Dow is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Dow. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
The market value of First Trust Dow is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.