Ferguson Plc Stock Performance

FERG Stock  USD 262.76  8.01  3.14%   
Ferguson Plc has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.44, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ferguson Plc will likely underperform. Ferguson Plc right now shows a risk of 1.9%. Please confirm Ferguson Plc semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Ferguson Plc will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ferguson Plc are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Ferguson Plc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.14
Five Day Return
4.26
Year To Date Return
16.77
Ten Year Return
407.45
All Time Return
470.6
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0135
Payout Ratio
0.3269
Last Split Factor
947:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
3.56
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
1
Vinva Investment Management Ltd Takes 642,000 Position in Ferguson plc FERG - MarketBeat
12/01/2025
2
These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Ferguson Enterprises After Q1 Results
12/10/2025
3
Ferguson Rating Lowered to Hold at Wall Street Zen
12/22/2025
4
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.s Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects
01/13/2026
5
18,418 Shares in Ferguson plc FERG Purchased by Campbell CO Investment Adviser LLC - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
6
Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Trims Stock Position in Ferguson plc FERG
01/21/2026
7
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
01/23/2026
8
Resona Asset Management Co. Ltd. Sells 4,062 Shares of Ferguson plc FERG - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
9
We Like Ferguson Enterprises Returns And Heres How Theyre Trending
01/30/2026
10
National Pension Service Buys 10,876 Shares of Ferguson plc FERG
02/02/2026
11
Barclays Stays Selective in Building Products as Ferguson Heads Into Q4
02/04/2026
12
How Fergusons Dividend Hike and Moore Supply Deal Will Impact Ferguson Enterprises Investors
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow625 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-543 M

Ferguson Plc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  25,311  in Ferguson Plc on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  965.00  from holding Ferguson Plc or generate 3.81% return on investment over 90 days. Ferguson Plc is currently generating 0.0794% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9012% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Ferguson, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ferguson Plc is expected to generate 2.36 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Ferguson Plc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ferguson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 262.76 90 days 262.76 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ferguson Plc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Ferguson Plc probability density function shows the probability of Ferguson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ferguson Plc will likely underperform. Additionally Ferguson Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ferguson Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ferguson Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ferguson Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
261.36263.25265.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
255.11257.00289.04
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
237.84261.36290.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.642.812.93
Details

Ferguson Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ferguson Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ferguson Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ferguson Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ferguson Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.44
σ
Overall volatility
11.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Ferguson Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ferguson Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ferguson Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Fergusons Dividend Hike and Moore Supply Deal Will Impact Ferguson Enterprises Investors

Ferguson Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ferguson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ferguson Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ferguson Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding199.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments674 M

Ferguson Plc Fundamentals Growth

Ferguson Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ferguson Plc, and Ferguson Plc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ferguson Stock performance.

About Ferguson Plc Performance

By analyzing Ferguson Plc's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ferguson Plc's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ferguson Plc has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ferguson Plc has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 69.19  55.10 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.19 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.29  0.14 

Things to note about Ferguson Plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ferguson Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ferguson Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Fergusons Dividend Hike and Moore Supply Deal Will Impact Ferguson Enterprises Investors
Evaluating Ferguson Plc's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ferguson Plc's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ferguson Plc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ferguson Plc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ferguson Plc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ferguson Plc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ferguson Plc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ferguson Plc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ferguson Plc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ferguson Plc's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ferguson Plc's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Ferguson Plc's price analysis, check to measure Ferguson Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferguson Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Ferguson Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferguson Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferguson Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferguson Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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