Five Below Stock Performance

FIVE Stock  USD 206.12  0.56  0.27%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Five Below holds a performance score of 25. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.23, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Five Below will likely underperform. Please check Five Below's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Five Below's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Five Below are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, Five Below exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.27)
Five Day Return
4.81
Year To Date Return
6.55
Ten Year Return
520.1
All Time Return
677.81
1
Disposition of 6000 shares by Devine Michael F Iii of Five Below at 181.84 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
2
Disposition of 2280 shares by George Hill of Five Below at 182.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
3
Disposition of 2200 shares by Barclay Kathleen S of Five Below at 182.03 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
4
Five Below Sets New 1-Year High Time to Buy
12/22/2025
5
Disposition of 312 shares by Amit Jhunjhunwala of Five Below at 193.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
6
Five Below, Inc. Announces Holiday Sales Results for Quarter-To-Date Through January 3, 2026
01/12/2026
7
Five Below Nasdaq Futures Retail Engagement Strategy
01/20/2026
8
Five Below Nasdaq 100 ETF Value Retail Positioning
01/22/2026
9
Five Below Releases FY 2025 Earnings Guidance
01/23/2026
10
Disposition of 655 shares by Maureen Gellerman of Five Below at 190.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
11
Strs Ohio Sells 8,536 Shares of Five Below, Inc. FIVE
02/03/2026
12
Bank of America double upgrades Five Below, sees more upside under new leadership
02/04/2026
13
Is It Too Late To Consider Five Below After A 107 percent One Year Gain
02/06/2026
14
A Look At Five Below Valuation After Record Holiday Sales And Analyst Upgrades
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow179.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-232.9 M

Five Below Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14,705  in Five Below on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,907  from holding Five Below or generate 40.17% return on investment over 90 days. Five Below is currently generating 0.5809% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.839% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Five, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Five Below is expected to generate 2.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.32 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of risk.

Five Below Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Five Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 206.12 90 days 206.12 
about 8.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Five Below to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.12 (This Five Below probability density function shows the probability of Five Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Five Below will likely underperform. Additionally Five Below has an alpha of 0.3722, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Five Below Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Five Below

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Five Below. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Five Below's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
203.69205.53207.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.51224.28226.12
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
201.98221.95246.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.680.921.18
Details

Five Below Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Five Below is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Five Below's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Five Below, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Five Below within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
18.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Five Below Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Five Below for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Five Below can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Five Below is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Five Below has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Five Below Valuation After Record Holiday Sales And Analyst Upgrades

Five Below Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Five Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Five Below's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Below's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments528.8 M

Five Below Fundamentals Growth

Five Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Five Below, and Five Below fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Five Stock performance.

About Five Below Performance

By analyzing Five Below's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Five Below's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Five Below has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Five Below has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 85.84  71.34 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.14 

Things to note about Five Below performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Five Below for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Five Below help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Five Below is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Five Below has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Five Below Valuation After Record Holiday Sales And Analyst Upgrades
Evaluating Five Below's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Five Below's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Five Below's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Five Below's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Five Below's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Five Below's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Five Below's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Five Below's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Five Below's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Five Below's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Five Below's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Five Below's price analysis, check to measure Five Below's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Below is operating at the current time. Most of Five Below's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Below's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Below's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Below to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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