First Republic Bank Stock Performance

FRCB Stock   0.0005  0  73.68%   
First Republic holds a performance score of 19 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -40.62, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Republic are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, First Republic is expected to outperform it. Use First Republic sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to analyze future returns on First Republic.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Republic Bank are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat inconsistent fundamental indicators, First Republic sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

First Republic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.12  in First Republic Bank on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (0.07) from holding First Republic Bank or give up 58.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Republic Bank is currently generating 19.1808% in daily expected returns and assumes 78.9882% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than First, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Republic is expected to generate 105.16 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 105.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

First Republic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0005 90 days 0.0005 
about 85.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Republic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.61 (This First Republic Bank probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Republic Bank has a beta of -40.62. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding First Republic Bank are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, First Republic is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that First Republic Bank has an alpha of 24.0056, implying that it can generate a 24.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Republic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Republic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Republic Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Republic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

First Republic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Republic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Republic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Republic Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Republic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
24.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-40.62
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

First Republic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Republic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Republic Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Republic Bank is way too risky over 90 days horizon
First Republic Bank has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Republic Bank appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Things to note about First Republic Bank performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Republic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First Republic Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Republic Bank is way too risky over 90 days horizon
First Republic Bank has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Republic Bank appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Evaluating First Republic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Republic's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing First Republic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Republic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Republic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Republic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Republic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Republic's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First Republic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Republic's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Republic's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis

When running First Republic's price analysis, check to measure First Republic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Republic is operating at the current time. Most of First Republic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Republic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Republic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Republic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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