Ftc Solar Stock Performance

FTCI Stock  USD 9.44  0.53  5.32%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 2.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FTC Solar will likely underperform. At this point, FTC Solar has a negative expected return of -0.0496%. Please make sure to confirm FTC Solar's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if FTC Solar performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days FTC Solar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong fundamental indicators, FTC Solar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow25.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities6.3 M

FTC Solar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,043  in FTC Solar on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (99.00) from holding FTC Solar or give up 9.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. FTC Solar is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.8212% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than FTC, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FTC Solar is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

FTC Solar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.44 90 days 9.44 
about 80.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FTC Solar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.36 (This FTC Solar probability density function shows the probability of FTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.16 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FTC Solar will likely underperform. Additionally FTC Solar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FTC Solar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FTC Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTC Solar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTC Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.559.3714.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.3510.1714.99
Details

FTC Solar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FTC Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FTC Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FTC Solar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FTC Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

FTC Solar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FTC Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FTC Solar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FTC Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FTC Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FTC Solar has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 47.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.54 M).
FTC Solar currently holds about 49.82 M in cash with (34.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48.
FTC Solar has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

FTC Solar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FTC Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTC Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.2 M

FTC Solar Fundamentals Growth

FTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FTC Solar, and FTC Solar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FTC Stock performance.

About FTC Solar Performance

By evaluating FTC Solar's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FTC Solar's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FTC Solar has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FTC Solar has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
FTC Solar, Inc. provides solar tracker systems, technology, software, and engineering services in the United States, Vietnam, and internationally. FTC Solar, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Ftc Solar operates under Solar classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 223 people.

Things to note about FTC Solar performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FTC Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FTC Solar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FTC Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FTC Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FTC Solar has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 47.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.54 M).
FTC Solar currently holds about 49.82 M in cash with (34.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48.
FTC Solar has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating FTC Solar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FTC Solar's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing FTC Solar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FTC Solar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FTC Solar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FTC Solar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FTC Solar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FTC Solar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into FTC Solar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FTC Solar's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FTC Solar's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running FTC Solar's price analysis, check to measure FTC Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FTC Solar is operating at the current time. Most of FTC Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FTC Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FTC Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FTC Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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