Fuel Tech Stock Performance
| FTEK Stock | USD 1.36 0.03 2.16% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0685, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fuel Tech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fuel Tech is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fuel Tech has a negative expected return of -0.95%. Please make sure to confirm Fuel Tech's daily balance of power, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and total risk alpha , to decide if Fuel Tech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Fuel Tech has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 17.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -5.4 M |
Fuel Tech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 264.00 in Fuel Tech on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (125.00) from holding Fuel Tech or give up 47.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fuel Tech is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.0448% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Fuel, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Fuel Tech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Fuel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.36 | 90 days | 1.36 | about 92.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fuel Tech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.76 (This Fuel Tech probability density function shows the probability of Fuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fuel Tech has a beta of -0.0685. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fuel Tech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fuel Tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fuel Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fuel Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fuel Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuel Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuel Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fuel Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fuel Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fuel Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fuel Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fuel Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.96 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Fuel Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fuel Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fuel Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fuel Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fuel Tech may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Fuel Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 25.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.38 M. | |
| Fuel Tech currently holds about 31.31 M in cash with (3.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.03. | |
| Fuel Tech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Fuel Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fuel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fuel Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fuel Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.7 M |
Fuel Tech Fundamentals Growth
Fuel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fuel Tech, and Fuel Tech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fuel Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0709 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0557 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.0005 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 17.62 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 31.07 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 590.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.03 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.71 X | ||||
| Revenue | 25.13 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (1.41 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 31.31 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.03 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 625 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.32 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.43 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.10) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 48.8 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (119.47 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 52.4 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 16.54 M | ||||
About Fuel Tech Performance
By examining Fuel Tech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fuel Tech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fuel Tech is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Fuel Tech, Inc. provides boiler optimization, efficiency improvement, and air pollution reduction and control solutions to utility and industrial customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Warrenville, Illinois. Fuel Tech operates under Pollution Treatment Controls classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 73 people.Things to note about Fuel Tech performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fuel Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fuel Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fuel Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fuel Tech may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Fuel Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 25.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.38 M. | |
| Fuel Tech currently holds about 31.31 M in cash with (3.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.03. | |
| Fuel Tech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing Fuel Tech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fuel Tech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Fuel Tech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Fuel Tech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fuel Tech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fuel Tech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fuel Tech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fuel Tech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. For more information on how to buy Fuel Stock please use our How to buy in Fuel Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fuel Tech. Market participants price Fuel higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fuel Tech assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Fuel Tech using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fuel Tech's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fuel Tech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuel Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fuel Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fuel Tech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.