Fuel Tech Stock Forward View
| FTEK Stock | USD 1.41 0.05 3.68% |
Fuel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Fuel Tech's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fuel Tech's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fuel Tech fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fuel Tech's share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fuel Tech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.76 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.01 | Wall Street Target Price 4 |
Using Fuel Tech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fuel Tech from the perspective of Fuel Tech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fuel Tech using Fuel Tech's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fuel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fuel Tech's stock price.
Fuel Tech Implied Volatility | 2.96 |
Fuel Tech's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fuel Tech stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fuel Tech's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fuel Tech stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fuel Tech's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fuel Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.36. Fuel Tech after-hype prediction price | USD 1.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuel Tech to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fuel contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fuel Tech will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.19% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Fuel Tech trading at USD 1.41, that is roughly USD 0.002608 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fuel Tech's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fuel Tech options at the current volatility level of 2.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Fuel Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fuel Tech's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fuel Tech's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fuel Tech stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fuel Tech's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fuel Tech's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fuel Tech is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fuel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fuel Tech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fuel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fuel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fuel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fuel Tech Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Fuel Tech's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1992-12-31 | Previous Quarter 10.6 M | Current Value 13.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 9.8 M |
Fuel Tech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fuel Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fuel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fuel Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fuel Tech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fuel Tech | Fuel Tech Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fuel Tech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fuel Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fuel Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.30, respectively. We have considered Fuel Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fuel Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fuel Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7576 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0551 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0334 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.3603 |
Predictive Modules for Fuel Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuel Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuel Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fuel Tech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fuel Tech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fuel Tech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fuel Tech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fuel Tech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fuel Tech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fuel Tech's historical news coverage. Fuel Tech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.40, respectively. We have considered Fuel Tech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fuel Tech is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fuel Tech is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fuel Tech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fuel Tech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fuel Tech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fuel Tech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.85 | 4.04 | 0.03 | 0.29 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.41 | 1.40 | 2.94 |
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Fuel Tech Hype Timeline
Fuel Tech is currently traded for 1.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.29. Fuel is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 2.94%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.85%. The volatility of related hype on Fuel Tech is about 1181.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.12. Fuel Tech currently holds 625 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuel Tech to cross-verify your projections.Fuel Tech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fuel Tech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fuel Tech's future price movements. Getting to know how Fuel Tech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fuel Tech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SUGP | SU Group Holdings | (0.43) | 8 per month | 6.08 | (0) | 17.52 | (9.68) | 43.26 | |
| CBAT | CBAK Energy Technology | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.38 | (3.30) | 7.92 | |
| XCH | XCHG Limited American | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.76 | (8.50) | 32.99 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | (0.06) | 16 per month | 6.95 | 0.03 | 22.81 | (9.52) | 38.97 | |
| RYM | RYTHM Inc | (1.55) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.94 | (15.38) | 63.12 | |
| SCWO | 374Water Common Stock | (0.10) | 6 per month | 9.41 | 0.01 | 19.32 | (18.87) | 45.42 | |
| SHIM | Shimmick Common | (1.65) | 33 per month | 4.01 | 0.16 | 12.69 | (6.83) | 26.47 | |
| FLX | BingEx | 0.10 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.22 | (6.92) | 25.66 | |
| SFWL | Shengfeng Development Limited | (0.05) | 8 per month | 3.78 | 0.02 | 5.56 | (5.21) | 43.33 | |
| JLHL | Julong Holding Limited | 0.32 | 3 per month | 7.95 | (0) | 8.83 | (12.72) | 31.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fuel Tech
For every potential investor in Fuel, whether a beginner or expert, Fuel Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fuel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fuel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fuel Tech's price trends.Fuel Tech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fuel Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fuel Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuel Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fuel Tech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fuel Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fuel Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fuel Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fuel Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fuel Tech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fuel Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fuel Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fuel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Variance | 16.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fuel Tech
The number of cover stories for Fuel Tech depends on current market conditions and Fuel Tech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fuel Tech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fuel Tech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fuel Tech Short Properties
Fuel Tech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fuel Tech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fuel Tech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fuel Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fuel Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuel Tech to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Fuel Stock please use our How to buy in Fuel Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fuel Tech. Market participants price Fuel higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fuel Tech assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.76 | Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Fuel Tech using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fuel Tech's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fuel Tech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuel Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fuel Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fuel Tech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.