Fidelity Trend Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FTRNX Fund  USD 187.44  1.10  0.59%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.62, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Trend's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Trend is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Fidelity Trend Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Fidelity Trend is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2023
Expense Ratio0.4900
  

Fidelity Trend Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,275  in Fidelity Trend Fund on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (531.00) from holding Fidelity Trend Fund or give up 2.75% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fidelity Trend Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.1411% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Fidelity, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Trend is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Fidelity Trend Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
187.44
Please note that Fidelity Trend's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Fidelity Trend shows a prevailing Real Value of $190.82 per share. The current price of the fund is $187.44. We determine the value of Fidelity Trend from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Fidelity Trend is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fidelity Mutual Fund. However, Fidelity Trend's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  187.44 Real  190.82 Hype  187.44 Naive  187.11
The intrinsic value of Fidelity Trend's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Fidelity Trend's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
168.70
Downside
190.82
Real Value
192.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fidelity Trend Fund helps investors to forecast how Fidelity mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fidelity Trend more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fidelity Trend's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
179.17186.73194.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
185.30187.44189.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
184.97187.11189.25
Details

Fidelity Trend Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Trend's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Fidelity Trend Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Fidelity Trend's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0108

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Negative ReturnsFTRNX

Estimated Market Risk

 2.14
  actual daily
19
81% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Fidelity Trend is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Fidelity Trend by adding Fidelity Trend to a well-diversified portfolio.

Fidelity Trend Fundamentals Growth

Fidelity Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fidelity Trend, and Fidelity Trend fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fidelity Mutual Fund performance.

About Fidelity Trend Performance

Evaluating Fidelity Trend's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Fidelity Trend has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fidelity Trend has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
It invests in companies that the adviser believes have above-average growth potential . Fidelity Trend is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Fidelity Trend performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Trend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Trend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity Trend generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Fidelity Trend's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fidelity Trend's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Fidelity Trend's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fidelity Trend's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fidelity Trend's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fidelity Trend's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fidelity Trend's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fidelity Trend's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Fidelity Trend's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fidelity Trend's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fidelity Trend's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Trend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Trend security.
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