Guinness Atkinson Global Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GAGEX Fund  USD 24.38  0.23  0.93%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.45, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guinness Atkinson's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guinness Atkinson is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Guinness Atkinson Global has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Guinness Atkinson is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio1.4700
  

Guinness Atkinson Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,575  in Guinness Atkinson Global on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (137.00) from holding Guinness Atkinson Global or give up 5.32% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guinness Atkinson Global is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.1545% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guinness, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guinness Atkinson is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

Guinness Atkinson Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
24.38
Please note that Guinness Atkinson's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guinness Atkinson Global retains a regular Real Value of $24.44 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $24.38. We determine the value of Guinness Atkinson Global from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guinness Atkinson is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guinness Mutual Fund. However, Guinness Atkinson's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.38 Real  24.44 Hype  24.38 Naive  24.09
The intrinsic value of Guinness Atkinson's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guinness Atkinson's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
24.44
Real Value
25.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guinness Atkinson Global helps investors to forecast how Guinness mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guinness Atkinson more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guinness Atkinson's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.1024.5925.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.2324.3825.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.9324.0925.24
Details

Guinness Atkinson Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guinness Atkinson's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guinness Atkinson Global, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guinness Atkinson's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0682

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Negative ReturnsGAGEX

Estimated Market Risk

 1.15
  actual daily
10
90% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.07
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guinness Atkinson is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guinness Atkinson by adding Guinness Atkinson to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guinness Atkinson Fundamentals Growth

Guinness Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guinness Atkinson, and Guinness Atkinson fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guinness Mutual Fund performance.

About Guinness Atkinson Performance

Evaluating Guinness Atkinson's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guinness Atkinson has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guinness Atkinson has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in publicly-traded equity securities of both U.S. and non-U.S. companies principally engaged in the production, exploration or discovery, or distribution of energy including the research and development or production of alternative energy sources. It will invest in companies economically tied to U.S. and to foreign countries, including, potentially, companies domiciled or traded in emerging markets.

Things to note about Guinness Atkinson Global performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guinness Atkinson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guinness Atkinson Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guinness Atkinson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated-6.0 ten year return of -6.0%
Guinness Atkinson Global retains 97.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Guinness Atkinson's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guinness Atkinson's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guinness Atkinson's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guinness Atkinson's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guinness Atkinson's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guinness Atkinson's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guinness Atkinson's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guinness Mutual Fund

Guinness Atkinson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guinness Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guinness with respect to the benefits of owning Guinness Atkinson security.
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