Guinness Atkinson Global Fund Volatility

GAGEX Fund  USD 24.96  0.02  0.08%   
Guinness Atkinson Global holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0461, which attests that the entity had a -0.0461% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Guinness Atkinson Global exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Guinness Atkinson's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 1.15, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4099 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Guinness Atkinson's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
360 Days Economic Sensitivity
Guinness Atkinson Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Guinness daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Guinness's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Guinness Atkinson volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Guinness Atkinson. They may decide to buy additional shares of Guinness Atkinson at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Guinness Atkinson Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Guinness Atkinson's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Guinness mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Guinness mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Guinness Atkinson's beta of -0.0703 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Guinness Atkinson mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Guinness Atkinson Global exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.91 and kurtosis of 1.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Guinness Atkinson Global Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Guinness Atkinson correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Guinness Beta

    
  -0.0703  
Guinness standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.13  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Guinness Atkinson's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Guinness Atkinson's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in guinness mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Guinness Atkinson.

Guinness Atkinson Global Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Guinness Atkinson fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Guinness Atkinson's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Guinness Atkinson's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Guinness Atkinson's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Guinness Atkinson's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Guinness Atkinson's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Guinness Atkinson's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Guinness Atkinson's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Guinness Atkinson Global Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Guinness Atkinson Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Guinness Atkinson Global has a beta of -0.0703 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guinness Atkinson are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guinness Atkinson Global is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guinness Atkinson or Guinness Atkinson sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guinness Atkinson's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guinness fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Guinness Atkinson Global has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Guinness Atkinson's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how guinness mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Guinness Atkinson Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Guinness Atkinson Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Guinness Atkinson is -2170.87. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.29 and standard deviation of 1.13. The mean deviation of Guinness Atkinson Global is currently at 0.85. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Guinness Atkinson Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Guinness Atkinson historical daily return volatility represents how much of Guinness Atkinson fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.1344% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Guinness Atkinson Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Guinness Atkinson or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Guinness Atkinson may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Guinness's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Guinness Atkinson and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Guinness Atkinson fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in publicly-traded equity securities of both U.S. and non-U.S. companies principally engaged in the production, exploration or discovery, or distribution of energy including the research and development or production of alternative energy sources. It will invest in companies economically tied to U.S. and to foreign countries, including, potentially, companies domiciled or traded in emerging markets.
Guinness Atkinson's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Guinness Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Guinness Atkinson's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Guinness Atkinson's volatility to invest better

Higher Guinness Atkinson's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Guinness Atkinson Global fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Guinness Atkinson Global fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Guinness Atkinson Global investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Guinness Atkinson's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Guinness Atkinson's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Guinness Atkinson Investment Opportunity

Guinness Atkinson Global has a volatility of 1.13 and is 1.49 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 10 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Guinness Atkinson. You can use Guinness Atkinson Global to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Guinness Atkinson to be traded at $24.71 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Guinness Atkinson Global and DJI is -0.05 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Guinness Atkinson Global and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Guinness Atkinson Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Guinness Atkinson's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guinness Atkinson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Guinness Atkinson mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Guinness Atkinson Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Guinness Atkinson as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Guinness Atkinson's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Guinness Atkinson's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Guinness Atkinson Global.

Other Information on Investing in Guinness Mutual Fund

Guinness Atkinson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guinness Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guinness with respect to the benefits of owning Guinness Atkinson security.
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