New Germany Closed Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GF Fund  USD 7.97  0.08  0.99%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0089, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, New Germany's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding New Germany is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days New Germany Closed has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Fund's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the mutual fund stockholders.
...more
1
Bankman-Frieds ex-girlfriend Ellison gets two-year sentence over FTX fraud - Reuters
09/25/2024
2
DAF continues to make progress in annual audit - Space Force
11/20/2024
Expense Ratio1.1000
  

New Germany Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  856.00  in New Germany Closed on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (59.00) from holding New Germany Closed or give up 6.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. New Germany Closed is generating negative expected returns and assumes 0.9802% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 8% of funds are less risky than New on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon New Germany is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

New Germany Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
7.97
Please note that New Germany's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. New Germany Closed secures a last-minute Real Value of $8.09 per share. The latest price of the fund is $7.97. We determine the value of New Germany Closed from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend locking in undervalued funds and disposing overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
The fair value of the New fund is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of New Germany Closed. Since New Germany is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of New Fund. However, New Germany's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.97 Real  8.09 Hype  7.97 Naive  7.79
The real value of New Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of New Germany Closed Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on New Germany's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of New Germany's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
8.09
Real Value
9.07
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of New Germany Closed helps investors to forecast how New fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of New Germany more accurately as focusing exclusively on New Germany's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.977.977.97
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.997.978.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.817.798.77
Details

New Germany Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for New Germany's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of funds, such as New Germany Closed, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a New Germany's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1089

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.98
  actual daily
8
92% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.11
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.11
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average New Germany is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of New Germany by adding New Germany to a well-diversified portfolio.

New Germany Fundamentals Growth

New Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of New Germany, and New Germany fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on New Fund performance.

About New Germany Performance

By analyzing New Germany's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into New Germany's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if New Germany has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if New Germany has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The New Germany Fund Inc. is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched by Deutsche Investment Management Americas Inc. The fund is managed by Deutsche Asset Management International GmbH. It invests in the public equity markets of Germany. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It primarily invests in stocks of small and mid cap companies. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Midcap Market Performance Index. The New Germany Fund Inc. was formed on January 16, 1990 and is domiciled in Germany.

Things to note about New Germany Closed performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Germany for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for New Germany Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Germany Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: DAF continues to make progress in annual audit - Space Force
New Germany Closed produced five year return of -1.0%
Evaluating New Germany's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate New Germany's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing New Germany's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether New Germany's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining New Germany's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating New Germany's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of New Germany's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of New Germany's fund. These opinions can provide insight into New Germany's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating New Germany's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact New Germany's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in New Fund

New Germany financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Germany security.
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