Graco Inc Stock Performance

GGG Stock

USD 80.36 1.68 2.14%

Graco's return record is summarized here, from recent weeks to multi-year horizons. The stock's expected return over 3 months is -0.22%, complemented by a 1.5% dividend yield.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0100

0 · Weak

Graco Inc posted below-breakeven returns over the last 90 days, with return quality lagging for investors with long positions. The score is most useful when evaluated together with trend stability and downside risk metrics. Over the measured horizon, Graco has produced deeply negative returns relative to the volatility absorbed. Learn More

Graco dividend paid on 6th of May 2026

05/06/2026

Check Graco Sensitivity to Hype

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 9,245 in Graco Inc on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 1,209 , a decline of 13.08% over 90 days. Graco Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.34% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Graco exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 88% of comparable stocks, and GGG delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.

Expected Return

Risk

This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Over a 90-day investment horizon, GGG has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, GGG is 1.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.16%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in Graco Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds moving above the current price in 90 days
80.36	90 days	80.36	about 92.97 %

Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Graco moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.97 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Graco Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Graco Stock over this horizon.

Over a 90-day investment horizon, Graco has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Graco's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Graco Inc tends to be smaller as well. Additionally, Graco Inc has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. GGG is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.

Graco Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Graco

Forecasting Graco Inc requires combining quantitative signals with evolving sentiment and fundamental trends. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Graco Inc.

Mean reversion is the tendency of Graco's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Graco's price extremes to fundamental value.

Sentiment

Range

Low	Sentiment	High
79.21	80.55	81.89

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Intrinsic	High
72.32	83.33	84.67

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
76.33	77.67	79.02

Details

Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
60.59	66.03	71.48

Details

Graco is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Graco leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Graco. Graco has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.

α	Alpha over Dow Jones	-0.2255	Details
β	Beta against Dow Jones	0.80	Details
σ	Overall volatility	4.67	Details
Ir	Information ratio	-0.1706	Details

Investor Alerts and Insights

Targeted alerts for Graco provide the responsiveness needed to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Graco Inc help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.

	Graco Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	On 6th of May 2026 Graco paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from stockstory.org: Armstrong World and Vulcan Materials Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know

Price Density Drivers

Price movements in Graco are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	169.22 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	624.08 million

Graco Fundamentals Growth

The market price of Graco Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Graco's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Graco Stock pricing.

	Current Valuation	12.27 B
	Shares Outstanding	165.97 M
	Earnings Per Share	3.06 X

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Benchmark comparison for Graco clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Outperformance relative to the benchmark may reflect exposure tilt, selection effect, or timing. Graco shows ROE of 19.78%, ROA of 12.01% (TTM).

Graco Inc inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board