Graco Inc Price Pattern Analysis
| GGG Stock | USD 80.36 1.68 2.14% |
Momentum
OversoldOverbought
36 · Sell Extended
News-driven attention for Graco Inc tracked against price changes reveals sentiment sensitivity. Cross-instrument attention comparisons add depth to the hype analysis.
Graco Current Signal Summary
Graco's momentum reading (RSI at 36) sits in bearish territory, while the expected daily return of -0.21% is negative and hype elasticity is positive. Daily volatility at 1.33% is contained, pointing to relatively stable near-term price action. High headline density (25 events/month) indicates heavy media coverage. Overall, signals for Graco are mixed — sentiment is positive despite negative momentum and returns, suggesting speculative interest.
Hype and attention metrics for Graco help distinguish between momentum-driven and sentiment-driven moves. Volatility and performance cues alongside headline activity help assess the reliability of sentiment signals.
Graco Post-Event Predicted Price | $ 80.54 |
Hype signals complement forecasting, technicals, and analyst estimates rather than replacing them. Earnings estimates and momentum context are important inputs alongside sentiment.
Mean reversion is the tendency of Graco's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Graco's price extremes to fundamental value.
Post-Sentiment Price Density Analysis
The price distribution chart for Graco maps the statistical uncertainty around the model's central forecast. The distribution of Graco's predicted prices is derived from Monte Carlo simulations calibrated to Graco's realized volatility.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimated Post-Sentiment Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for Graco after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. Graco's post-sentiment downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.21 and 81.87, respectively. Signal strength depends on the consistency of Graco's past reactions to comparable news categories.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Graco Inc uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. In practice, the estimate clarifies potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
If Graco's price is climbing without matching news, momentum forces may be at play. Big-money trading in Graco can push price moves well past what the core data would suggest. The split between Graco's price trend and its fundamental trajectory can serve as a contrarian indicator. Tracking who owns Graco shares provides an early signal of shifts in momentum direction.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Sentiment Sensitivity | Peer Sensitivity | News Density | Peer Density | Next Expected Sentiment |
0.21 | 1.33 | 0.18 | 1.02 | 25 Events | 7 Events | In 25 days |
| Latest Traded Price | Expected Post-Event Price | Potential Return on Next Event | Post-Sentiment Volatility | |
80.36 | 80.54 | 0.22 |
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Market Sentiment Timeline
On the 7th of May Graco is traded for 80.36. Graco has a historical sentiment sensitivity of 0.18. Peers average a sentiment sensitivity of -1.02. is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the post-event price near 80.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on GGG the price is about 156.47%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.21%. The volatility of peer sentiment impact on Graco is about 27.43%, with the expected peer-implied price after the next announcement near 79.34. GGG reported last year's revenue of $2.24 billion. Total Income to common stockholders was $521.84 million with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of $1.18 billion. Over a 90-day investment horizon, the next forecasted press release will be in 25 days. The Graco Basic Forecasting Models framework offers a quantitative cross-check for Graco's projections.Related Market Sentiment Analysis
The relationship between Graco and its sector peers means news affecting one company often reverberates across Graco's landscape. Whether the news affects the sector broadly or competitively determines if Graco's shares move in sympathy or contrast.
| SentimentElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | -1.38 | 14 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.73 | -2.53 | 17.16 | |
| AME | Ametek Inc | -1.81 | 12 per month | 1.44 | 0.04 | 2.87 | -2.57 | 7.98 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | -6.01 | 25 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 6.29 | -4.63 | 20.80 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | 1.74 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 2.39 | -2.73 | 13.57 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | -0.25 | 6 per month | 1.33 | 0.02 | 2.60 | -2.63 | 7.17 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | -3.68 | 24 per month | 1.72 | 0.06 | 3.09 | -2.90 | 9.74 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | -41.31 | 24 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 3.73 | -4.51 | 12.02 | |
| CR | Crane Company | -0.25 | 13 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 3.66 | -3.89 | 10.20 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | -6.01 | 24 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 3.32 | -3.03 | 9.83 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | -3.68 | 24 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 2.66 | -2.71 | 14.17 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | -0.25 | 19 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 2.29 | -2.24 | 9.66 | |
| GRC | Gorman Rupp | -0.32 | 16 per month | 1.85 | 0.15 | 5.62 | -2.94 | 15.22 | |
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group | 0.18 | 19 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 2.61 | -3.49 | 10.49 |
Graco Additional Predictive Modules
Graco predictive analysis applies quantitative techniques to historical price data, aiming to identify conditions that have preceded similar moves in the past. Combining multiple forecasting approaches can reduce model-specific bias and improve reliability.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for Graco evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Positioning shifts can amplify volatility changes during regime transitions. Graco has a market cap of 13.06 billion, P/E of 32.43, ROE of 19.78%.
Reported values for Graco Inc are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for analysis.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board