Graco Inc Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 73.32 74.52 100.19 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 87.87 89.06 90.26 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 76.79 84.38 93.66 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.71 0.77 0.77 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Graco Inc.

Graco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Graco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Graco Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.20	1.20	0.15	0.14	9 Events / Month	10 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
92.29	90.95	0.14	160.00   Notes

Graco Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Graco Inc is traded for 92.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Graco is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 90.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 160.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Graco is about 170.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.15. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2024. Graco Inc had 3:1 split on the 28th of December 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Graco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Graco Related Hype Analysis

Graco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Graco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Graco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Graco Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graco based on analysis of Graco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Graco depends on current market conditions and Graco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Graco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Graco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Graco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Graco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Graco Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Graco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Graco's price analysis, check to measure Graco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graco is operating at the current time. Most of Graco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.