Graco Inc Stock Price Patterns

GGG Stock  USD 94.30  0.37  0.39%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Graco's stock price is roughly 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 17th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Graco, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Graco's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Graco and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Graco's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Graco Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Graco's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.254
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.7357
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.1792
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.4575
Wall Street Target Price
95.3333
Using Graco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Graco Inc from the perspective of Graco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Graco using Graco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Graco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Graco's stock price.

Graco Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Graco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Graco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Graco stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
84.6987
Short Percent
0.0305
Short Ratio
4.26
Shares Short Prior Month
4.4 M
50 Day MA
86.146

Graco Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Graco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Graco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Graco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Graco Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Graco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Graco.

Graco Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Graco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Graco Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Graco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Graco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Graco's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Graco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Graco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Graco after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 95.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Graco contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Graco Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Graco trading at USD 94.3, that is roughly USD 0.0242 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Graco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Graco Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Graco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.20101.30102.53
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
86.7595.33105.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.720.740.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Graco Inc.

Graco After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Graco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Graco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Graco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Graco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Graco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Graco's historical news coverage. Graco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.19 and 96.65, respectively. We have considered Graco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
94.30
95.42
After-hype Price
96.65
Upside
Graco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Graco Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Graco Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Graco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Graco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.22
  0.60 
  0.71 
10 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
94.30
95.42
0.79 
60.70  
Notes

Graco Hype Timeline

On the 17th of February 2026 Graco Inc is traded for 94.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.71. Graco is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 95.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 60.7%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Graco is about 51.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.59. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.24 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 521.84 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.17 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Graco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Graco Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Graco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Graco's future price movements. Getting to know how Graco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Graco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMREmerson Electric(3.66)10 per month 2.22  0.09  3.43 (3.47) 11.44 
CMICummins(13.92)8 per month 2.26  0.14  2.87 (2.50) 15.60 
HWMHowmet Aerospace(1.23)7 per month 1.35  0.13  3.56 (2.29) 7.17 
CSXCSX Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.73  0.23  2.27 (1.55) 5.63 
TRIThomson Reuters 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.74 (4.19) 18.17 
ROPRoper Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.71 (4.19) 11.55 
AMEAmetek Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.25  1.87 (1.16) 6.22 
CPCanadian Pacific Railway 0.00 0 per month 1.04  0.18  2.54 (1.98) 7.63 

Graco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Graco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Graco Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Graco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Graco Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graco based on analysis of Graco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Graco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Graco's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01230.01320.0092940.00883
Price To Sales Ratio5.266.26.887.22

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