Guidewire Software Stock Performance

GWRE Stock  USD 127.03  1.69  1.35%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.12, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Guidewire Software returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Guidewire Software is expected to follow. At this point, Guidewire Software has a negative expected return of -0.83%. Please make sure to check out Guidewire Software's skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Guidewire Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Guidewire Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.35
Five Day Return
(0.17)
Year To Date Return
(32.30)
Ten Year Return
181.91
All Time Return
642
1
Disposition of 1400 shares by Michael Rosenbaum of Guidewire Software at 213.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
2
Guidewire Olos Boosts Pricing Speed and Workers Compensation Outcomes
12/09/2025
3
Ethos Names Former Transamerica CEO Mark Mullin to Board of Directors
01/14/2026
4
Disposition of 1200 shares by Michael Rosenbaum of Guidewire Software at 160.32 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
5
Scalar Gauge Management LLC Makes New Investment in Guidewire Software, Inc. GWRE
01/27/2026
6
Guidewire Software stock hits 52-week low at 154.37 USD By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria
01/29/2026
7
Guidewire Software, Inc. Short Interest Update
02/02/2026
8
Analysts Set Guidewire Software, Inc. Target Price at 269.50
02/04/2026
9
Hantz Financial Services Inc. Has 8.42 Million Stake in Guidewire Software, Inc. GWRE
02/05/2026
10
Guidewire Sets to Capture 30-50 percent Market Share in the PC Insurance Industry
02/06/2026
11
Disposition of 1200 shares by Michael Rosenbaum of Guidewire Software at 127.77 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow549.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-237 M

Guidewire Software Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  21,675  in Guidewire Software on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (8,972) from holding Guidewire Software or give up 41.39% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guidewire Software is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7205% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Guidewire, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guidewire Software is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.31 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Guidewire Software Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Guidewire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 127.03 90 days 127.03 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidewire Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Guidewire Software probability density function shows the probability of Guidewire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually indicates Guidewire Software market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Guidewire Software is expected to follow. Additionally Guidewire Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Guidewire Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guidewire Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidewire Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.06122.78139.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.33154.39157.11
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
233.67256.79285.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.710.770.82
Details

Guidewire Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidewire Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidewire Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidewire Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidewire Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.86
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.12
σ
Overall volatility
30.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Guidewire Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidewire Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidewire Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guidewire Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guidewire Software is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Unity Software shares drop sharply on weak first quarter guidance

Guidewire Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guidewire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guidewire Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guidewire Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Guidewire Software Fundamentals Growth

Guidewire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guidewire Software, and Guidewire Software fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guidewire Stock performance.

About Guidewire Software Performance

By analyzing Guidewire Software's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guidewire Software's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guidewire Software has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guidewire Software has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.10 

Things to note about Guidewire Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidewire Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidewire Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guidewire Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guidewire Software is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Unity Software shares drop sharply on weak first quarter guidance
Evaluating Guidewire Software's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guidewire Software's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Guidewire Software's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guidewire Software's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guidewire Software's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guidewire Software's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guidewire Software's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guidewire Software's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guidewire Software's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guidewire Software's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guidewire Software's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Guidewire Stock analysis

When running Guidewire Software's price analysis, check to measure Guidewire Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guidewire Software is operating at the current time. Most of Guidewire Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guidewire Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guidewire Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guidewire Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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