Intel Stock Performance

INTC Stock  USD 48.24  0.36  0.74%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Intel holds a performance score of 8. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.62, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intel will likely underperform. Please check Intel's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Intel's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intel are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Intel exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.32)
Five Day Return
(0.78)
Year To Date Return
23.41
Ten Year Return
63.25
All Time Return
120.4 K
Last Split Factor
2:1
Dividend Date
2024-09-01
Ex Dividend Date
2024-08-07
Last Split Date
2000-07-31
1
Stock Market Today, Jan. 20 Intel Rises on Analyst Upgrades Highlighting AI Server CPU Growth
01/20/2026
2
Forget Intel The Smartest Investors Are Gaining an Edge With This MobileFirst Chip Leader
01/27/2026
3
Apple inks its biggest MA deal since Beats in AI device war
01/29/2026
4
Apple Is Reportedly Looking to Partner with Intel Foundry. Does That Make INTC Stock a Buy Here
01/30/2026
5
Disposition of 20000 shares by Miller Boise April of Intel at 49.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
6
Intel is finally back in the desktop workstation game - new Xeon 600 features Granite Rapids power, up to 86 cores, 4TB of memory
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow8.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-14.8 B

Intel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,813  in Intel on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,047  from holding Intel or generate 27.46% return on investment over 90 days. Intel is currently generating 0.5165% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.7443% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than Intel, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intel is expected to generate 6.2 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Intel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.24 90 days 48.24 
about 6.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.93 (This Intel probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.62 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intel will likely underperform. Additionally Intel has an alpha of 0.2977, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.4349.1753.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.0646.8051.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.8942.6447.38
Details
45 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.9347.1752.36
Details

Intel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.62
σ
Overall volatility
5.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Intel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from techradar.com: Intel is finally back in the desktop workstation game - new Xeon 600 features Granite Rapids power, up to 86 cores, 4TB of memory

Intel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments37.4 B

Intel Fundamentals Growth

Intel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intel, and Intel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intel Stock performance.

About Intel Performance

By analyzing Intel's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Intel's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Intel has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Intel has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 133.38  69.18 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.08 

Things to note about Intel performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from techradar.com: Intel is finally back in the desktop workstation game - new Xeon 600 features Granite Rapids power, up to 86 cores, 4TB of memory
Evaluating Intel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Intel Stock analysis

When running Intel's price analysis, check to measure Intel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intel is operating at the current time. Most of Intel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope