Jefferies Financial Group Stock Performance

JEF Stock  USD 58.87  0.95  1.64%   
Jefferies Financial has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0387, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jefferies Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jefferies Financial is likely to outperform the market. Jefferies Financial right now retains a risk of 2.18%. Please check out Jefferies Financial standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Jefferies Financial will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Jefferies Financial Group are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Jefferies Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.01)
Five Day Return
(7.10)
Year To Date Return
(10.95)
Ten Year Return
294.07
All Time Return
21.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0276
Payout Ratio
0.5654
Last Split Factor
1046:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
 
Jefferies Financial dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
1
Johnson Matthey Reaches New 12-Month High Time to Buy
12/23/2025
2
Insider Buying Crest Nicholson Insider Purchases 106 Shares of Stock
01/12/2026
3
Auto Trader Group Sees Large Volume Increase Should You Buy
01/20/2026
4
Crypto giant reportedly triples valuation ahead of IPO
01/23/2026
5
Capital One Financial Investment Analysts Weekly Ratings Updates
01/27/2026
6
Jefferies Cuts Cheniere Target but Stays Constructive Ahead of Q4
01/29/2026
7
Disposition of 472804 shares by Brian Friedman of Jefferies Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-73.5 M

Jefferies Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,541  in Jefferies Financial Group on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  346.00  from holding Jefferies Financial Group or generate 6.24% return on investment over 90 days. Jefferies Financial Group is generating 0.1246% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.1802% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Jefferies, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Jefferies Financial is expected to generate 2.85 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.85 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Jefferies Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Jefferies Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 58.87 90 days 58.87 
about 56.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jefferies Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.14 (This Jefferies Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Jefferies Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Jefferies Financial Group has a beta of -0.0387. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jefferies Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jefferies Financial Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jefferies Financial Group has an alpha of 0.1831, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jefferies Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jefferies Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jefferies Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jefferies Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.6258.8761.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.8759.1261.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.3057.5459.79
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
67.9574.6782.88
Details

Jefferies Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jefferies Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jefferies Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jefferies Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jefferies Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Jefferies Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jefferies Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jefferies Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 472804 shares by Brian Friedman of Jefferies Financial subject to Rule 16b-3

Jefferies Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jefferies Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jefferies Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jefferies Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding222.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14 B

Jefferies Financial Fundamentals Growth

Jefferies Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Jefferies Financial, and Jefferies Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Jefferies Stock performance.

About Jefferies Financial Performance

By analyzing Jefferies Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Jefferies Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Jefferies Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Jefferies Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 56.85  74.67 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Jefferies Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jefferies Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Jefferies Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 472804 shares by Brian Friedman of Jefferies Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Jefferies Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Jefferies Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Jefferies Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Jefferies Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Jefferies Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Jefferies Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Jefferies Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Jefferies Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Jefferies Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Jefferies Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Jefferies Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Jefferies Stock analysis

When running Jefferies Financial's price analysis, check to measure Jefferies Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jefferies Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Jefferies Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jefferies Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jefferies Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jefferies Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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