Kogan Stock Performance

KGGNF Stock  USD 2.16  0.00  0.00%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Kogan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Kogan is likely to outperform the market. Kogan right now secures a risk of 0.0%. Please verify Kogan coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Kogan will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Kogan has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Kogan is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow91.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-32.8 M
  

Kogan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  216.00  in Kogan on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Kogan or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Kogan is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Kogan, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Kogan Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Kogan Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.16 90 days 2.16 
about 55.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kogan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.74 (This Kogan probability density function shows the probability of Kogan Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kogan has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kogan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kogan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kogan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kogan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kogan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kogan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.162.162.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.921.922.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.162.162.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.162.162.16
Details

Kogan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kogan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kogan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kogan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kogan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Kogan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kogan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kogan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kogan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 718.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.43 M.
About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kogan Fundamentals Growth

Kogan Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kogan, and Kogan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kogan Pink Sheet performance.

About Kogan Performance

By analyzing Kogan's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Kogan's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Kogan has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Kogan has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The company offers various brands across a range of categories, including consumer electronics, appliances, homewares, hardware, toys, and others and owns and operates 20 private label brands. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Melbourne, Australia. Kogan is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Kogan performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kogan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Kogan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kogan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 718.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.43 M.
About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Kogan's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kogan's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Kogan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kogan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kogan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kogan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kogan's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kogan's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Kogan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kogan's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kogan's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Kogan Pink Sheet analysis

When running Kogan's price analysis, check to measure Kogan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kogan is operating at the current time. Most of Kogan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kogan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kogan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kogan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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