Kogan Valuation

KGGNF Stock  USD 2.16  0.00  0.00%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Kogan secures a last-minute Real Value of $2.24 per share. The latest price of the firm is $2.16. Our model forecasts the value of Kogan from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 227.88 M, return on equity of -0.2, and Profit Margin of (0.05) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
2.16
Please note that Kogan's price fluctuation is moderately volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Kogan is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Kogan's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Kogan pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Kogan. Since Kogan is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kogan Pink Sheet. However, Kogan's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.16 Real  2.24 Hype  2.16 Naive  2.28
The real value of Kogan Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Kogan Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Kogan's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Kogan's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
2.24
Real Value
3.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kogan helps investors to forecast how Kogan pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kogan more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kogan's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.162.162.16
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.492.163.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.622.283.95
Details

Kogan Total Value Analysis

Kogan is now estimated to have takeover price of 227.88 M with market capitalization of 616.57 M, debt of 34.87 M, and cash on hands of 91.69 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Kogan fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
227.88 M
616.57 M
34.87 M
91.69 M

Kogan Investor Information

About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Kogan was now reported as 1.62. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 261.82. Kogan recorded a loss per share of 0.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2021. Based on the analysis of Kogan's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Kogan is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Kogan Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Kogan has an asset utilization ratio of 199.41 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.99 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Kogan is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Kogan Ownership Allocation

Kogan maintains a total of 107.04 Million outstanding shares. Kogan holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Kogan Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 718.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.43 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Kogan's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Kogan and how it compares across the competition.

About Kogan Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines Kogan's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Kogan. We calculate exposure to Kogan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Kogan's related companies.
The company offers various brands across a range of categories, including consumer electronics, appliances, homewares, hardware, toys, and others and owns and operates 20 private label brands. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Melbourne, Australia. Kogan is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

8 Steps to conduct Kogan's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Kogan's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Kogan's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Kogan's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Kogan's revenue streams: Identify Kogan's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Kogan's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Kogan's growth potential: Evaluate Kogan's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Kogan's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Kogan's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Kogan Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Kogan does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.444
Forward Price Earnings42.5532
Retained Earnings-37.1 M

Complementary Tools for Kogan Pink Sheet analysis

When running Kogan's price analysis, check to measure Kogan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kogan is operating at the current time. Most of Kogan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kogan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kogan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kogan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios