Kinetics Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

KSOAX Fund  USD 184.19  3.80  2.11%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.25, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Kinetics Small will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Kinetics Small Cap are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Kinetics Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2025.
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JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar -50510
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Kinetics Small Cap Kinetics Small Cap Dividend Benchmark Dow Jones Industrial
  

Kinetics Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  17,222  in Kinetics Small Cap on January 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,197  from holding Kinetics Small Cap or generate 6.95% return on investment over 90 days. Kinetics Small Cap is currently producing 0.1287% returns and takes up 2.0216% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Kinetics, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15CashMarketKSOAX 0.00.51.01.52.0 -0.020.000.020.040.060.080.100.120.14
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kinetics Small is expected to generate 2.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.02 per unit of risk.

Kinetics Small Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
184.19
184.2184.19168.9168.9184.2184.19186.8186.75100%
Please note that Kinetics Small's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Kinetics Small Cap secures a last-minute Real Value of $168.9 per share. The latest price of the fund is $184.19. We determine the value of Kinetics Small Cap from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Kinetics Small is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kinetics Mutual Fund. However, Kinetics Small's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  184.19 Real  168.9 Hype  184.19 Naive  186.75
The intrinsic value of Kinetics Small's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Kinetics Small's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
166.88
Downside
168.90
Real Value
202.61
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kinetics Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Kinetics mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kinetics Small more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kinetics Small's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
175.38180.77186.16
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
182.17184.19186.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
184.73186.75188.78
Details

Kinetics Small Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kinetics Small's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Kinetics Small Cap, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Kinetics Small's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0637

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskKSOAXHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns

Estimated Market Risk

 2.02
  actual daily
18
82% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.13
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.06
  actual daily
5
95% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Kinetics Small is performing at about 5% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Kinetics Small by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Kinetics Small Fundamentals Growth

Kinetics Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kinetics Small, and Kinetics Small fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kinetics Mutual Fund performance.

About Kinetics Small Performance

Evaluating Kinetics Small's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Kinetics Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Kinetics Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund is a non-diversified fund that invests all of its investable assets in the Small Cap Portfolio, a series of Kinetics Portfolios Trust. The Small Cap Portfolio invests at least 80 percent of its net assets plus any borrowings for investment purposes in common stocks, convertible securities, warrants and other equity securities having the characteristics of common stocks of U.S. and foreign small capitalization companies that provide attractive valuation opportunities. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Kinetics Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinetics Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Kinetics Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.56% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Kinetics Small's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kinetics Small's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Kinetics Small's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kinetics Small's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kinetics Small's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kinetics Small's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kinetics Small's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kinetics Small's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Kinetics Small's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kinetics Small's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kinetics Small's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Kinetics Mutual Fund

Kinetics Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinetics Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinetics with respect to the benefits of owning Kinetics Small security.
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