Kohls Stock Performance

KSS Stock  USD 17.28  0.43  2.43%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.68, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kohls' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kohls is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kohls has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to verify Kohls' semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Kohls performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Kohls has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.11)
Five Day Return
(9.40)
Year To Date Return
(19.59)
Ten Year Return
(63.23)
All Time Return
880.57
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0282
Payout Ratio
0.2907
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.5
Dividend Date
2025-12-24
1
Disposition of 25000 shares by Jill Timm of Kohls at 22.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
2
Kohls Target of Unusually High Options Trading
12/09/2025
 
Kohls dividend paid on 24th of December 2025
12/24/2025
4
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01/12/2026
5
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01/14/2026
6
Is It Time To Reassess Kohls After A Steep Multi Year Share Price Slide
01/22/2026
7
Kohls Announces Planned Retirement of Senior Executive Leader - TipRanks
01/28/2026
8
Rocket Companies stock jumped 6 percent on mortgage surge news - Rolling Out
02/03/2026
9
Kohls Store Chief Retirement Puts Turnaround Execution In The Spotlight
02/11/2026
10
Did Kohls New Under10 Deal Bar Just Shift Kohls Investment Narrative
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow183 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-467 M

Kohls Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,446  in Kohls on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (675.00) from holding Kohls or give up 27.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Kohls is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.2143% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Kohls, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Kohls is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Kohls Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Kohls Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.28 90 days 17.28 
about 85.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kohls to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.96 (This Kohls probability density function shows the probability of Kohls Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Kohls has a beta of 0.68. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kohls average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kohls will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kohls has an alpha of 0.2723, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kohls Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kohls

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kohls. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kohls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8517.0620.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5018.7121.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0016.2219.43
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details

Kohls Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kohls is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kohls' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kohls, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kohls within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Kohls Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kohls for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kohls can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kohls generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kohls has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Did Kohls New Under10 Deal Bar Just Shift Kohls Investment Narrative

Kohls Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kohls Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kohls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kohls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112 M
Cash And Short Term Investments134 M

Kohls Fundamentals Growth

Kohls Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kohls, and Kohls fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kohls Stock performance.

About Kohls Performance

Assessing Kohls' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Kohls' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Kohls is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 92.67  75.63 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.24  0.19 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.08 
Return On Equity 2.27  2.39 

Things to note about Kohls performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kohls for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Kohls help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kohls generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kohls has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Did Kohls New Under10 Deal Bar Just Shift Kohls Investment Narrative
Evaluating Kohls' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kohls' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Kohls' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kohls' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kohls' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kohls' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kohls' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kohls' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Kohls' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kohls' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kohls' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Kohls Stock Analysis

When running Kohls' price analysis, check to measure Kohls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kohls is operating at the current time. Most of Kohls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kohls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kohls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kohls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.