Semileds Stock Performance
| LEDS Stock | USD 1.91 0.03 1.60% |
The entity has a beta of 1.97, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SemiLEDS will likely underperform. At this point, SemiLEDS has a negative expected return of -0.47%. Please make sure to validate SemiLEDS's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if SemiLEDS performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days SemiLEDS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2016-04-18 |
1 | Can SemiLEDs Corporation stock reach 100 price target - Market Growth Report Low Drawdown Momentum Trade Ideas - newser.com | 11/19/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Hsieh Edward Kuan Hsiung of 5000 shares of SemiLEDS subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
3 | SemiLEDs Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year End 2025 Financial Results | 11/28/2025 |
4 | How SemiLEDs Corporation stock valuation compares with sector - 2025 Bull vs Bear AI Powered Market Trend Analysis - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
5 | Is SemiLEDs the Fastest-Growing Semiconductor Stock | 12/08/2025 |
6 | Can SemiLEDs Corporation stock continue upward trend - 2025 Big Picture Detailed Earnings Play Strategies - ulpravda.ru | 12/18/2025 |
7 | Weekly Recap How SemiLEDs Corporation stock valuations compare to rivals - Jobs Report Long Hold Capital Preservation Tips - moha.gov.vn | 12/30/2025 |
8 | Treasury Yields How SemiLEDs Corporation stock valuations compare to rivals - Weekly Trade Review Advanced Swing Trade Entry Alerts - moha.gov.vn | 01/09/2026 |
9 | Electrical Expert Joe Fussell of Midland Explains Why LED Lights Are a Smart Upgrade for HelloNation | 01/21/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -595 K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.6 M |
SemiLEDS Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 280.00 in SemiLEDS on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (89.00) from holding SemiLEDS or give up 31.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. SemiLEDS is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.4477% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 48% of stocks are less volatile than SemiLEDS, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
SemiLEDS Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of SemiLEDS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.91 | 90 days | 1.91 | about 71.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SemiLEDS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.16 (This SemiLEDS probability density function shows the probability of SemiLEDS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SemiLEDS will likely underperform. Additionally SemiLEDS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SemiLEDS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SemiLEDS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SemiLEDS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SemiLEDS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SemiLEDS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SemiLEDS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SemiLEDS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SemiLEDS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SemiLEDS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
SemiLEDS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SemiLEDS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SemiLEDS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SemiLEDS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SemiLEDS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SemiLEDS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SemiLEDS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds 4.01 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SemiLEDS has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SemiLEDS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 43.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.35 M. | |
| About 59.0% of SemiLEDS outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Electrical Expert Joe Fussell of Midland Explains Why LED Lights Are a Smart Upgrade for HelloNation |
SemiLEDS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SemiLEDS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SemiLEDS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SemiLEDS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
SemiLEDS Fundamentals Growth
SemiLEDS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SemiLEDS, and SemiLEDS fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SemiLEDS Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0516 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 15.2 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 8.22 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (0.45) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.47 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.35 X | ||||
| Revenue | 43.01 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.35 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (272 K) | ||||
| Net Income | (1.13 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.02 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.67 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.01 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.53 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.97 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.49 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.21 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 20.14 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 15.59 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (189.81 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (81 K) | ||||
| Current Asset | 11.64 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 4.9 M | ||||
About SemiLEDS Performance
Assessing SemiLEDS's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into SemiLEDS's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the SemiLEDS is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 38.66 | 36.73 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.08) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.44) | (0.46) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.08) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.47) | (0.49) |
Things to note about SemiLEDS performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about SemiLEDS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SemiLEDS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SemiLEDS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SemiLEDS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SemiLEDS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SemiLEDS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds 4.01 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SemiLEDS has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SemiLEDS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 43.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.35 M. | |
| About 59.0% of SemiLEDS outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Electrical Expert Joe Fussell of Midland Explains Why LED Lights Are a Smart Upgrade for HelloNation |
- Analyzing SemiLEDS's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SemiLEDS's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining SemiLEDS's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating SemiLEDS's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SemiLEDS's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SemiLEDS's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SemiLEDS's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for SemiLEDS Stock Analysis
When running SemiLEDS's price analysis, check to measure SemiLEDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SemiLEDS is operating at the current time. Most of SemiLEDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SemiLEDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SemiLEDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SemiLEDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.