Semileds Stock Technical Analysis
| LEDS Stock | USD 1.86 0.05 2.62% |
As of the 27th of January, SemiLEDS has the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), coefficient of variation of (807.82), and Variance of 28.73. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of SemiLEDS, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate SemiLEDS variance and potential upside to decide if SemiLEDS is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 1.86 per share. Please also confirm SemiLEDS jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.78) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.
SemiLEDS Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as SemiLEDS, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SemiLEDSSemiLEDS's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SemiLEDS. If investors know SemiLEDS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SemiLEDS listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SemiLEDS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SemiLEDS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SemiLEDS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SemiLEDS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SemiLEDS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SemiLEDS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SemiLEDS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SemiLEDS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SemiLEDS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
SemiLEDS 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SemiLEDS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SemiLEDS.
| 10/29/2025 |
| 01/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in SemiLEDS on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SemiLEDS or generate 0.0% return on investment in SemiLEDS over 90 days. SemiLEDS is related to or competes with Webus International, Intchains Group, Nortech Systems, Semilux International, Data IO, Trio Tech, and Ebang International. SemiLEDs Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells light emitting diode chips, LED components, and LED modules and s... More
SemiLEDS Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SemiLEDS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SemiLEDS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.37 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.02 |
SemiLEDS Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SemiLEDS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SemiLEDS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SemiLEDS historical prices to predict the future SemiLEDS's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.78) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SemiLEDS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SemiLEDS January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (807.82) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.36 | |||
| Variance | 28.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.78) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.37 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.02 | |||
| Skewness | (0.18) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.22 |
SemiLEDS Backtested Returns
SemiLEDS owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which indicates the firm had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. SemiLEDS exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SemiLEDS's Coefficient Of Variation of (807.82), risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Variance of 28.73 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.6, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SemiLEDS will likely underperform. At this point, SemiLEDS has a negative expected return of -0.66%. Please make sure to validate SemiLEDS's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if SemiLEDS performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
SemiLEDS has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SemiLEDS time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SemiLEDS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current SemiLEDS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.7 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
SemiLEDS technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
SemiLEDS Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of SemiLEDS volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About SemiLEDS Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of SemiLEDS on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of SemiLEDS based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on SemiLEDS price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding SemiLEDS. By analyzing SemiLEDS's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of SemiLEDS's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to SemiLEDS specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
SemiLEDS January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of SemiLEDS help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SemiLEDS from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze SemiLEDS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (807.82) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.36 | |||
| Variance | 28.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.78) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.37 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.02 | |||
| Skewness | (0.18) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.22 |
SemiLEDS January 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SemiLEDS stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 553.41 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1.87 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1.86 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) |
Additional Tools for SemiLEDS Stock Analysis
When running SemiLEDS's price analysis, check to measure SemiLEDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SemiLEDS is operating at the current time. Most of SemiLEDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SemiLEDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SemiLEDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SemiLEDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.