Lennar Stock Performance

LEN Stock  USD 110.07  0.51  0.46%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.69, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lennar will likely underperform. At this point, Lennar has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to verify Lennar's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Lennar performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Lennar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.46)
Five Day Return
(3.99)
Year To Date Return
5.61
Ten Year Return
166.64
All Time Return
9.7 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0182
Payout Ratio
0.2455
Last Split Factor
1033:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
2
Dividend Date
2026-02-19
1
Countdown to Lennar Q4 Earnings A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
12/11/2025
2
Lennar Shares Down 5.5 percent Heres What Happened
12/18/2025
3
Tuesday 2025 The Year in Review
12/30/2025
4
Why Taylor Morrison Home Stock Is Up Today
01/09/2026
5
US futures slip while Asian shares gain as Fed chair Powell faces legal threat
01/12/2026
6
D.R. Horton Downgrade is Due to High Rates, Says Jim Cramer
01/13/2026
7
Why Is Lennar Up 8.2 percent Since Last Earnings Report
01/15/2026
8
Stock market today Dow, SP 500, Nasdaq inch higher as Trump wavers on Kevin Hassett as next Fed chair
01/16/2026
9
Lennar declares 0.50 dividend
01/21/2026
10
Assessing Lennar Valuation After Recent Share Pullback And Mixed Return Performance
01/22/2026
11
Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Increases Position in Lennar Corporation LEN
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-302.6 M

Lennar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,413  in Lennar on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,406) from holding Lennar or give up 11.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lennar is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.6076% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Lennar, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lennar is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Lennar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lennar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 110.07 90 days 110.07 
about 83.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lennar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.78 (This Lennar probability density function shows the probability of Lennar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lennar will likely underperform. Additionally Lennar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lennar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lennar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lennar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lennar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.48110.07112.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.0683.65121.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.34102.92105.51
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
99.82109.69121.76
Details

Lennar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lennar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lennar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lennar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lennar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.69
σ
Overall volatility
8.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Lennar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lennar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lennar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lennar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Increases Position in Lennar Corporation LEN

Lennar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lennar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lennar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lennar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding257.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B

Lennar Fundamentals Growth

Lennar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lennar, and Lennar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lennar Stock performance.

About Lennar Performance

By examining Lennar's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Lennar's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Lennar is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 135.71  260.50 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.11 

Things to note about Lennar performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lennar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lennar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lennar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Increases Position in Lennar Corporation LEN
Evaluating Lennar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lennar's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lennar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lennar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lennar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lennar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lennar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lennar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lennar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lennar's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lennar's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Lennar offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lennar's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lennar Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lennar Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lennar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.53)
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
7.98
Revenue Per Share
132.638
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.