Lennar Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LEN Stock | USD 168.07 0.16 0.1% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lennar is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Lennar's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Lennar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lennar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lennar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Lennar |
Execute Lennar Buy or Sell Advice
The Lennar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lennar. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lennar or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lennar's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Lennar Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lennar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Lennar paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Lennar maintains Outperform rating with 236 target |
Lennar Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lennar's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lennar's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lennar daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lennar price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lennar returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lennar.
| Mean Return | -0.03 | Value At Risk | -3.91 | Potential Upside | 2.50 | Standard Deviation | 1.81 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lennar historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lennar Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Lennar, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lennar back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Lone Pine Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Smead Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.7 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 26.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 24.3 M |
Lennar Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.5B | 23.0M | 1.9B | 1.8B | 2.0B | 2.1B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.1B | 2.5B | 3.2B | 5.1B | 5.8B | 6.1B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 110.4M | (685.1M) | 914.0M | 444.0M | 510.6M | 536.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 195.0M | 309.8M | 438.0M | 430.6M | 495.1M | 519.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 72.8M | 65.2M | 57.2M | 99.8M | 114.8M | 120.5M | |
| Net Income | 2.5B | 4.5B | 4.6B | 4.0B | 4.6B | 4.8B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.9B | 3.0B | 4.8B | 6.6B | 7.6B | 7.9B | |
| Change To Inventory | 781.4M | (2.0B) | (2.4B) | 2.3B | 2.0B | 2.1B | |
| Depreciation | 94.6M | 86.0M | 87.1M | 110.2M | 126.7M | 133.0M | |
| Investments | (258.0M) | (84.8M) | (97.2M) | (111.8M) | (100.6M) | (95.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | 312.3M | 25.9M | (289.8M) | (422.4M) | (380.2M) | (361.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.0B) | (2.3B) | (1.1B) | (214.0M) | (192.6M) | (202.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (135.0M) | 366.6M | (553.0M) | (165.5M) | (149.0M) | (141.5M) |
Lennar Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lennar or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lennar's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lennar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Lennar Volatility Alert
Lennar exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.78 and kurtosis of 1.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lennar's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lennar's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lennar Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lennar's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lennar's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lennar and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lennar or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lennar's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lennar by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lennar to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lennar | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0878 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 44.84 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 238.81 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.27 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.83 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.66 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 34.23 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 8.2 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 5.53 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.96 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.78 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.67 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.94 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.25 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 13.94 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 101.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.18 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.39 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 15.05 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.19 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 197.94 | |
| Number Of Employees | 12.28 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.62 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 45.33 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 39.23 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 22.37 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 25.9 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 36356 shares by Jonathan Jaffe of Lennar at 89.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Lennar Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lennar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 33872.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.06) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 168.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 168.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.98) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.53 |
About Lennar Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lennar? Buying financial instruments such as Lennar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Lennar in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Lennar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.101 | Dividend Share 1.875 | Earnings Share 15.05 | Revenue Per Share 132.561 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 |
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.