Lightspeed Commerce Stock Performance

LSPD Stock  CAD 12.25  0.28  2.34%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.86, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Lightspeed Commerce returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lightspeed Commerce is expected to follow. At this point, Lightspeed Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to verify Lightspeed Commerce's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Lightspeed Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Lightspeed Commerce has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
1
Implied Volatility Surging for Lightspeed Commerce Stock Options - Yahoo Finance
12/05/2025
2
Lightspeed Commerce Stock Quiet Rebound Or Just A Dead-Cat Bounce - AD HOC NEWS
01/05/2026
3
Lightspeed Sets Date for Fiscal Q3 2026 Results and Investor Call - The Globe and Mail
01/09/2026
4
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market Key Insights - sharewise.com
01/14/2026
5
Lightspeed Commerce Stock Rating Lowered by Zacks Research - MarketBeat
01/21/2026
6
Lightspeed stock. Buy, Sell or Hold - Cantech Letter
01/30/2026
7
A Look At Lightspeed Commerce Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness - Yahoo Finance Singapore
02/03/2026
8
Stifel Nicolaus Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Lightspeed Commerce Stock Price - MarketBeat
02/06/2026
9
Truist Securities Adjusts Price Target for Lightspeed Commerce LSPD Stock News - GuruFocus
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow722.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing ActivitiesM
  

Lightspeed Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,614  in Lightspeed Commerce on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (417.00) from holding Lightspeed Commerce or give up 25.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lightspeed Commerce is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.3327% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Lightspeed, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lightspeed Commerce is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Lightspeed Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lightspeed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.25 90 days 12.25 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lightspeed Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lightspeed Commerce probability density function shows the probability of Lightspeed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lightspeed Commerce has a beta of 0.86. This indicates Lightspeed Commerce market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lightspeed Commerce is expected to follow. Additionally Lightspeed Commerce has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lightspeed Commerce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lightspeed Commerce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lightspeed Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5611.8914.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9413.2715.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.110.110.13
Details

Lightspeed Commerce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lightspeed Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lightspeed Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lightspeed Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lightspeed Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.71
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Lightspeed Commerce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lightspeed Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lightspeed Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lightspeed Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (667.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 509.65 M.
Lightspeed Commerce has accumulated about 558.47 M in cash with (32.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Truist Securities Adjusts Price Target for Lightspeed Commerce LSPD Stock News - GuruFocus

Lightspeed Commerce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lightspeed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lightspeed Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lightspeed Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments558.5 M

Lightspeed Commerce Fundamentals Growth

Lightspeed Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lightspeed Commerce, and Lightspeed Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lightspeed Stock performance.

About Lightspeed Commerce Performance

By examining Lightspeed Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Lightspeed Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Lightspeed Commerce is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 7.66  6.34 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.69)(0.73)
Return On Capital Employed(0.37)(0.39)
Return On Assets(0.33)(0.35)
Return On Equity(0.46)(0.44)

Things to note about Lightspeed Commerce performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lightspeed Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lightspeed Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lightspeed Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (667.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 509.65 M.
Lightspeed Commerce has accumulated about 558.47 M in cash with (32.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Truist Securities Adjusts Price Target for Lightspeed Commerce LSPD Stock News - GuruFocus
Evaluating Lightspeed Commerce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lightspeed Commerce's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lightspeed Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lightspeed Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lightspeed Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lightspeed Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lightspeed Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lightspeed Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lightspeed Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lightspeed Commerce's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lightspeed Commerce's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Lightspeed Commerce is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lightspeed Commerce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lightspeed Commerce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lightspeed Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lightspeed Commerce. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Lightspeed Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lightspeed Commerce guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Understanding that Lightspeed Commerce's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lightspeed Commerce represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Lightspeed Commerce's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.