Lightspeed Commerce Stock Price Patterns
| LSPD Stock | CAD 12.07 0.46 3.67% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1211 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4739 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.678 | Wall Street Target Price 19.6922 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1454 |
Using Lightspeed Commerce hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lightspeed Commerce from the perspective of Lightspeed Commerce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lightspeed Commerce to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lightspeed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lightspeed Commerce after-hype prediction price | CAD 11.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lightspeed |
Lightspeed Commerce After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lightspeed Commerce at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lightspeed Commerce or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lightspeed Commerce, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lightspeed Commerce Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lightspeed Commerce's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lightspeed Commerce's historical news coverage. Lightspeed Commerce's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.58 and 14.38, respectively. We have considered Lightspeed Commerce's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lightspeed Commerce is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lightspeed Commerce is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lightspeed Commerce Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lightspeed Commerce is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lightspeed Commerce backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lightspeed Commerce, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 2.40 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.07 | 11.98 | 0.75 |
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Lightspeed Commerce Hype Timeline
Lightspeed Commerce is now traded for 12.07on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Lightspeed is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.75%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Lightspeed Commerce is about 1447.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.98. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.81. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lightspeed Commerce recorded a loss per share of 6.21. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Lightspeed Commerce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lightspeed Commerce Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lightspeed Commerce's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lightspeed Commerce's future price movements. Getting to know how Lightspeed Commerce's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lightspeed Commerce may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HIVE | HIVE Digital Technologies | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 9.13 | (10.51) | 21.65 | |
| PNG | Kraken Robotics | (0.11) | 8 per month | 3.35 | 0.15 | 8.00 | (6.29) | 20.05 | |
| ENGH | Enghouse Systems | (0.61) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.58 | (2.50) | 8.77 | |
| DCBO | Docebo Inc | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.38 | (3.39) | 8.48 | |
| TBIX | TrustBIX | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 65.00 | |
| ROI | Route1 Inc | 0.00 | 4 per month | 6.35 | 0.04 | 14.29 | (12.50) | 41.67 |
Lightspeed Commerce Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lightspeed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lightspeed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lightspeed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lightspeed Commerce Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lightspeed Commerce stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lightspeed Commerce, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lightspeed Commerce based on analysis of Lightspeed Commerce hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lightspeed Commerce's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lightspeed Commerce's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 15.64 | 18.35 | 16.52 | 17.34 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 11.49 | 8.51 | 7.66 | 6.34 |
Pair Trading with Lightspeed Commerce
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lightspeed Commerce position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lightspeed Commerce will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Lightspeed Stock
Moving against Lightspeed Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lightspeed Commerce could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lightspeed Commerce when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lightspeed Commerce - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lightspeed Commerce to buy it.
The correlation of Lightspeed Commerce is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lightspeed Commerce moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lightspeed Commerce moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lightspeed Commerce can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Lightspeed Commerce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lightspeed Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lightspeed Commerce guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.