Lightspeed Commerce Stock Performance

LSPD Stock  USD 10.85  0.60  5.24%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.32, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lightspeed Commerce will likely underperform. At this point, Lightspeed Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.0333%. Please make sure to verify Lightspeed Commerce's jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Lightspeed Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Lightspeed Commerce has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Lightspeed Commerce is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.63)
Five Day Return
0.62
Year To Date Return
(2.47)
Ten Year Return
(65.23)
All Time Return
(65.23)
1
Lightspeed rolls out accelerator to fund Indias under-25 deeptech talent
12/11/2025
2
The European startup markets data doesnt match its energy yet
12/24/2025
3
Cyera Raises 400M to Meet Rapidly Growing Demand for AI Security Among Enterprises
01/08/2026
4
Lightspeed gears up for new India-Southeast Asia fund, may raise 500 mn
01/13/2026
5
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market Key Insights
01/14/2026
6
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Declines More Than Market Some Information for Investors
01/20/2026
7
AI Is Accelerating Marketing - But Brands Are Still Missing Cultural Moments, New Typeface Research Finds
01/21/2026
8
Live updates Musks surprise appearance, Newsoms Trump spat, and post-Trump reckonings
01/22/2026
9
AI Startups Hit Unicorn Status at Seed Stage
01/26/2026
10
Mesh joins crypto unicorn ranks with 75M Dragonfly-led Series C
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow722.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing ActivitiesM

Lightspeed Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,200  in Lightspeed Commerce on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (55.00) from holding Lightspeed Commerce or give up 4.58% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lightspeed Commerce is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0842% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Lightspeed, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lightspeed Commerce is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Lightspeed Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lightspeed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.85 90 days 10.85 
over 95.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lightspeed Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.81 (This Lightspeed Commerce probability density function shows the probability of Lightspeed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lightspeed Commerce will likely underperform. Additionally Lightspeed Commerce has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lightspeed Commerce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lightspeed Commerce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lightspeed Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3611.4414.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9813.0616.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0812.1715.25
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.0614.3615.94
Details

Lightspeed Commerce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lightspeed Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lightspeed Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lightspeed Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lightspeed Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Lightspeed Commerce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lightspeed Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lightspeed Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lightspeed Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lightspeed Commerce has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (667.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 491.95 M.
Lightspeed Commerce currently holds about 914.79 M in cash with (32.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.12.
Lightspeed Commerce has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cointelegraph.com: Mesh joins crypto unicorn ranks with 75M Dragonfly-led Series C

Lightspeed Commerce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lightspeed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lightspeed Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lightspeed Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments558.5 M

Lightspeed Commerce Fundamentals Growth

Lightspeed Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lightspeed Commerce, and Lightspeed Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lightspeed Stock performance.

About Lightspeed Commerce Performance

By analyzing Lightspeed Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Lightspeed Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Lightspeed Commerce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Lightspeed Commerce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 7.66  6.34 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.69)(0.73)
Return On Capital Employed(0.37)(0.39)
Return On Assets(0.33)(0.35)
Return On Equity(0.46)(0.44)

Things to note about Lightspeed Commerce performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lightspeed Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lightspeed Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lightspeed Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lightspeed Commerce has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (667.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 491.95 M.
Lightspeed Commerce currently holds about 914.79 M in cash with (32.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.12.
Lightspeed Commerce has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cointelegraph.com: Mesh joins crypto unicorn ranks with 75M Dragonfly-led Series C
Evaluating Lightspeed Commerce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lightspeed Commerce's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lightspeed Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lightspeed Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lightspeed Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lightspeed Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lightspeed Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lightspeed Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lightspeed Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lightspeed Commerce's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lightspeed Commerce's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Lightspeed Stock analysis

When running Lightspeed Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Lightspeed Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lightspeed Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Lightspeed Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lightspeed Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lightspeed Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lightspeed Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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