Lightspeed Commerce Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LSPD Stock  USD 17.86  0.12  0.68%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Lightspeed Commerce is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Lightspeed Commerce buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LSPD positions.
  
Check out Lightspeed Commerce Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Lightspeed Stock refer to our How to Trade Lightspeed Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lightspeed and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Lightspeed Commerce. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Lightspeed Commerce Buy or Sell Advice

The Lightspeed recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lightspeed Commerce. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lightspeed Commerce or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lightspeed Commerce's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lightspeed CommerceBuy Lightspeed Commerce
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lightspeed Commerce has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1524, Jensen Alpha of 0.4057, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0799, Sortino Ratio of 0.1965 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7832
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lightspeed Commerce and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Lightspeed Commerce is not overpriced, please verify all Lightspeed Commerce fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, earnings per share, and the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Lightspeed Commerce has a shares owned by institutions of 61.03 %, we recommend you to check Lightspeed Commerce market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lightspeed Commerce Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 909.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (163.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 271.17 M.
Lightspeed Commerce currently holds about 914.79 M in cash with (97.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.12.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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Lightspeed Commerce Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lightspeed Commerce's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lightspeed Commerce's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lightspeed Commerce daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lightspeed Commerce price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lightspeed Commerce returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lightspeed Commerce.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-2.09
Potential Upside
4.72
Standard Deviation
2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lightspeed Commerce historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lightspeed Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
1.5 M
Azora Capital Lp2024-09-30
1.4 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
1.1 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-09-30
976.1 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
968.7 K
Intact Investment Management, Inc.2024-09-30
877.7 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
807.2 K
Newgen Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
735 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
646 K
Caisse De Depot Et Placement Du Quebec2024-06-30
24.3 M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
17.7 M
Note, although Lightspeed Commerce's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lightspeed Commerce Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(401K)(256K)(6.0M)(5.3M)(3.6M)(3.5M)
Change In Cash3.3M596.2M146.5M(153.5M)(78.1M)(74.1M)
Free Cash Flow(32.2M)(94.9M)(97.9M)(138.4M)(115.9M)(110.1M)
Depreciation13.5M36.5M104.5M115.3M109.1M114.6M
Other Non Cash Items9.8M6.3M(3.0M)764.2M(42.2M)(40.1M)
Capital Expenditures3.6M1.8M10.7M13.1M18.2M19.1M
Net Income(53.5M)(124.3M)(288.4M)(1.1B)(164.0M)(172.2M)
End Period Cash Flow211.0M807.2M953.7M800.2M722.1M460.8M
Investments(120.3M)(235.0M)(563.9M)8.8M26.0M27.2M
Change To Netincome163.3M15.5M33.1M123.0M141.4M80.6M

Lightspeed Commerce Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lightspeed Commerce or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lightspeed Commerce's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lightspeed stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
2.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Lightspeed Commerce Volatility Alert

Lightspeed Commerce has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.97 and kurtosis of 8.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lightspeed Commerce's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lightspeed Commerce's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lightspeed Commerce Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lightspeed Commerce's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lightspeed Commerce's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lightspeed Commerce and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lightspeed Commerce or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lightspeed Commerce's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lightspeed Commerce by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lightspeed Commerce to competition
FundamentalsLightspeed CommercePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0574-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0335-0.14
Profit Margin(0.14) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.09 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding151.92 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.84 M4.71 M
Price To Book1.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.69 X11.42 X
Revenue909.27 M9.43 B
Gross Profit271.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA(49.22 M)3.9 B
Net Income(163.96 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents914.79 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt23.21 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio5.55 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.43 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(97.67 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio8.26 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.89) X3.12 X
Target Price18.75
Beta2.71-0.15
Market Capitalization2.73 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.57 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.16 B)9.33 B
Working Capital773.23 M1.48 B
Net Asset2.57 B

Lightspeed Commerce Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lightspeed . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lightspeed Commerce Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lightspeed Commerce? Buying financial instruments such as Lightspeed Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lightspeed Commerce in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Biotech
Biotech Theme
Companies specialized in biotechnology production and delivery of pharmaceuticals services. The Biotech theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Biotech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Lightspeed Commerce is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lightspeed Commerce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lightspeed Commerce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lightspeed Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lightspeed Commerce Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Lightspeed Stock refer to our How to Trade Lightspeed Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lightspeed Commerce. If investors know Lightspeed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lightspeed Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.89)
Revenue Per Share
6.565
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.204
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.06)
The market value of Lightspeed Commerce is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lightspeed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lightspeed Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lightspeed Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lightspeed Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lightspeed Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lightspeed Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lightspeed Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lightspeed Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.