Intuitive Machines Stock Performance
| LUNR Stock | 22.81 2.52 12.42% |
Intuitive Machines holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.51, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intuitive Machines will likely underperform. Use Intuitive Machines downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to analyze future returns on Intuitive Machines.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intuitive Machines are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Intuitive Machines reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 12.42 | Five Day Return 10.35 | Year To Date Return 27.57 | Ten Year Return 136.37 | All Time Return 136.37 |
1 | Intuitive Machines, Inc. LUNR Shares Bought by Police Firemen s Retirement System of New Jersey | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 28135 shares by Kamal Ghaffarian of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
3 | Dow, Nasdaq Up Triple Digits As Stocks Rally Into Weekend | 12/19/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 83914 shares by Stephen Altemus of Intuitive Machines at 18.0391 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
5 | Intuitive Machines My Plan For Re-Entry - Seeking Alpha | 01/06/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 40254 shares by Kamal Ghaffarian of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/07/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 5660 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines at 20.0028 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/08/2026 |
8 | Why Intuitive Machines Stock Is Suddenly Sinking - TipRanks | 01/09/2026 |
9 | Defiance Launches LUNL The First Daily 2X Long ETF for Intuitive Machines, Inc. | 01/13/2026 |
10 | Intuitive Machines Jumps 12.5 percent on Lanteris Buyout Completion | 01/15/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 24155 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines at 20.0407 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
12 | Disposition of 58828 shares by Stephen Altemus of Intuitive Machines at 20.033 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/20/2026 |
13 | A Look At Intuitive Machines Valuation After The Lanteris Space Systems Acquisition | 01/22/2026 |
14 | Disposition of 200000 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -10.1 M |
Intuitive | Build AI portfolio with Intuitive Stock |
Intuitive Machines Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,193 in Intuitive Machines on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,088 from holding Intuitive Machines or generate 91.2% return on investment over 90 days. Intuitive Machines is currently generating 1.3377% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.7084% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 69% of stocks are less volatile than Intuitive, and 74% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Intuitive Machines Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Intuitive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 22.81 | 90 days | 22.81 | about 1.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intuitive Machines to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.57 (This Intuitive Machines probability density function shows the probability of Intuitive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.51 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intuitive Machines will likely underperform. Moreover Intuitive Machines has an alpha of 1.0251, implying that it can generate a 1.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intuitive Machines Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intuitive Machines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Machines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intuitive Machines Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intuitive Machines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intuitive Machines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intuitive Machines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intuitive Machines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Intuitive Machines Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intuitive Machines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intuitive Machines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intuitive Machines is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Intuitive Machines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 228 M. Net Loss for the year was (343.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 M. | |
| Intuitive Machines generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 200000 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Intuitive Machines Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intuitive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intuitive Machines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuitive Machines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 207.6 M |
Intuitive Machines Fundamentals Growth
Intuitive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intuitive Machines, and Intuitive Machines fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intuitive Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.77 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0863 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.94) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.38 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 142.31 M | ||||
| Price To Sales | 13.13 X | ||||
| Revenue | 228 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.18 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (50.49 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (343.43 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 37.38 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (3.43) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (57.59 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.46) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.89 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 355.4 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (996.45 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 194.33 M | ||||
About Intuitive Machines Performance
Assessing Intuitive Machines' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Intuitive Machines' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Intuitive Machines is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.72) | (0.68) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.26) | (0.27) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.72) | (0.68) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | 0.23 |
Things to note about Intuitive Machines performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intuitive Machines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intuitive Machines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intuitive Machines is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Intuitive Machines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 228 M. Net Loss for the year was (343.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 M. | |
| Intuitive Machines generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 200000 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Intuitive Machines' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intuitive Machines' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Intuitive Machines' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Intuitive Machines' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intuitive Machines' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intuitive Machines' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intuitive Machines' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Intuitive Stock Analysis
When running Intuitive Machines' price analysis, check to measure Intuitive Machines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuitive Machines is operating at the current time. Most of Intuitive Machines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuitive Machines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuitive Machines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuitive Machines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.