Intuitive Machines Stock Performance

LUNR Stock   17.55  0.64  3.52%   
Intuitive Machines holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 3.19, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intuitive Machines will likely underperform. Use Intuitive Machines downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and relative strength index , to analyze future returns on Intuitive Machines.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intuitive Machines are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Intuitive Machines reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.52)
Five Day Return
7.73
Year To Date Return
(1.85)
Ten Year Return
81.87
All Time Return
81.87
1
Disposition of 28135 shares by Kamal Ghaffarian of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3
12/09/2025
2
Disposition of 83914 shares by Stephen Altemus of Intuitive Machines at 18.0391 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
3
Disposition of 40254 shares by Kamal Ghaffarian of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
4
Disposition of 5660 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines at 20.0028 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/08/2026
5
Intuitive Machines Jumps 12.5 percent on Lanteris Buyout Completion
01/15/2026
6
Disposition of 24155 shares by Timothy Crain of Intuitive Machines at 20.0407 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
7
Disposition of 58828 shares by Stephen Altemus of Intuitive Machines at 20.033 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
8
Intuitive Machines, Inc. ABullCase Theory
01/28/2026
9
Intuitive Machines CEO Sold Nearly 13,000 Shares. Is the Stock a Buy or Sell - AOL.com
02/04/2026
10
Acquisition by Anna Jones of 43949 shares of Intuitive Machines subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
11
Does Intuitive Machines One-Stop Lunar Transport Shift Redefine Its Competitive Moat
02/09/2026
12
Institutional Interest And Air Force Contracts Refocus Intuitive Machines Outlook
02/11/2026
13
Disposition of 86803 shares by Stephen Altemus of Intuitive Machines at 16.007 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2026
14
Intuitive Machines Stock Is Leaping Whats Going On
02/18/2026
15
How Is The Market Feeling About Intuitive Machines Inc
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow4.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.1 M

Intuitive Machines Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  900.00  in Intuitive Machines on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  855.00  from holding Intuitive Machines or generate 95.0% return on investment over 90 days. Intuitive Machines is currently generating 1.4508% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.4924% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 76% of stocks are less volatile than Intuitive, and 71% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intuitive Machines is expected to generate 11.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 11.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Intuitive Machines Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intuitive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.55 90 days 17.55 
about 29.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intuitive Machines to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.54 (This Intuitive Machines probability density function shows the probability of Intuitive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.19 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intuitive Machines will likely underperform. Moreover Intuitive Machines has an alpha of 1.0176, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intuitive Machines Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intuitive Machines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Machines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.3815.9224.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0217.5626.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3718.9127.45
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.1918.8920.97
Details

Intuitive Machines Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intuitive Machines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intuitive Machines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intuitive Machines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intuitive Machines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.19
σ
Overall volatility
4.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Intuitive Machines Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intuitive Machines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intuitive Machines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intuitive Machines is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Intuitive Machines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 228 M. Net Loss for the year was (343.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 M.
Intuitive Machines generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: How Is The Market Feeling About Intuitive Machines Inc

Intuitive Machines Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intuitive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intuitive Machines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuitive Machines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments207.6 M

Intuitive Machines Fundamentals Growth

Intuitive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intuitive Machines, and Intuitive Machines fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intuitive Stock performance.

About Intuitive Machines Performance

Assessing Intuitive Machines' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Intuitive Machines' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Intuitive Machines is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.72)(0.68)
Return On Capital Employed(0.26)(0.27)
Return On Assets(0.72)(0.68)
Return On Equity 0.32  0.23 

Things to note about Intuitive Machines performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intuitive Machines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intuitive Machines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intuitive Machines is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Intuitive Machines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 228 M. Net Loss for the year was (343.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 M.
Intuitive Machines generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: How Is The Market Feeling About Intuitive Machines Inc
Evaluating Intuitive Machines' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intuitive Machines' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intuitive Machines' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intuitive Machines' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intuitive Machines' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intuitive Machines' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intuitive Machines' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intuitive Machines' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intuitive Machines' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intuitive Machines' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intuitive Machines' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Intuitive Stock Analysis

When running Intuitive Machines' price analysis, check to measure Intuitive Machines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuitive Machines is operating at the current time. Most of Intuitive Machines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuitive Machines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuitive Machines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuitive Machines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.