Intuitive Machines Stock Price Patterns

LUNR Stock   18.99  2.00  9.53%   
The relative strength indicator of Intuitive Machines' stock price is slightly above 65. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Intuitive, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intuitive Machines' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Intuitive Machines and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Intuitive Machines' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intuitive Machines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intuitive Machines' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.81)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.37)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0459
Wall Street Target Price
18.3333
Using Intuitive Machines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intuitive Machines from the perspective of Intuitive Machines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intuitive Machines using Intuitive Machines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intuitive using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intuitive Machines' stock price.

Intuitive Machines Short Interest

An investor who is long Intuitive Machines may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intuitive Machines and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intuitive Machines with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.443
Short Percent
0.2001
Short Ratio
2
Shares Short Prior Month
26.1 M
50 Day MA
14.4917

Intuitive Machines Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Intuitive Machines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Intuitive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intuitive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intuitive Machines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Intuitive Machines' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Intuitive Machines.

Intuitive Machines Implied Volatility

    
  1.48  
Intuitive Machines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intuitive Machines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intuitive Machines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intuitive Machines stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intuitive Machines' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intuitive Machines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intuitive because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Intuitive Machines after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intuitive contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intuitive Machines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0925% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Intuitive Machines trading at USD 18.99, that is roughly USD 0.0176 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intuitive Machines' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intuitive Machines options at the current volatility level of 1.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Intuitive Machines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Intuitive Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Machines guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9817.8825.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1119.0126.91
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.6818.3320.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.0050.01
Details

Intuitive Machines After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intuitive Machines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intuitive Machines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intuitive Machines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intuitive Machines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intuitive Machines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intuitive Machines' historical news coverage. Intuitive Machines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.98 and 27.78, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Machines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.99
19.88
After-hype Price
27.78
Upside
Intuitive Machines is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intuitive Machines is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intuitive Machines Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intuitive Machines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intuitive Machines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intuitive Machines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.10 
7.90
  0.89 
  0.31 
23 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 23 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.99
19.88
4.69 
975.31  
Notes

Intuitive Machines Hype Timeline

Intuitive Machines is now traded for 18.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.89, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. Intuitive is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 4.69%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.1%. The volatility of related hype on Intuitive Machines is about 2832.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.30. Intuitive Machines generates negative cash flow from operationsGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 23 days.
Check out Intuitive Machines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Intuitive Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Machines guide.

Intuitive Machines Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intuitive Machines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intuitive Machines' future price movements. Getting to know how Intuitive Machines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intuitive Machines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TRTN-PCTriton International Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.44 (0.05) 0.68 (0.64) 2.46 
VOYGVoyager Technologies(1.11)9 per month 4.88  0.01  7.91 (8.41) 22.80 
VVXV2X Inc(0.85)11 per month 1.69  0.06  3.81 (2.27) 10.12 
ATKRAtkore International Group 1.05 8 per month 2.79  0.01  3.57 (2.99) 15.11 
ENVXEnovix Corp 0.60 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 7.93 (8.56) 25.68 
GEOGeo Group 0.16 13 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.14 (3.33) 14.08 
HUBGHub Group 0.86 9 per month 0.88  0.25  4.24 (1.90) 7.44 
EPACEnerpac Tool Group 1.44 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.65 (2.83) 12.80 
FAFirst Advantage Corp 0.36 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.13 (4.75) 13.15 

Intuitive Machines Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intuitive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intuitive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intuitive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Intuitive Machines Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Intuitive Machines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intuitive Machines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intuitive Machines based on analysis of Intuitive Machines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intuitive Machines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intuitive Machines's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.160.14
Price To Sales Ratio4.42.22

Pair Trading with Intuitive Machines

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Intuitive Machines position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Intuitive Machines will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Intuitive Stock

  0.93BA Boeing Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.79CW Curtiss WrightPairCorr
  0.95ESLT Elbit SystemsPairCorr
  0.92HII Huntington Ingalls Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.85TXT TextronPairCorr

Moving against Intuitive Stock

  0.62ATMV ATMV Old Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.37SIGL Signal AdvancePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Intuitive Machines could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Intuitive Machines when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Intuitive Machines - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Intuitive Machines to buy it.
The correlation of Intuitive Machines is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Intuitive Machines moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Intuitive Machines moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Intuitive Machines can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Intuitive Stock Analysis

When running Intuitive Machines' price analysis, check to measure Intuitive Machines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuitive Machines is operating at the current time. Most of Intuitive Machines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuitive Machines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuitive Machines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuitive Machines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.