Merdeka Copper (Indonesia) Performance

MDKA Stock  IDR 3,750  110.00  3.02%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Merdeka Copper holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.18, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Merdeka Copper's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merdeka Copper is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merdeka Copper's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Merdeka Copper's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merdeka Copper Gold are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, Merdeka Copper disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow51 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-242.3 M
  

Merdeka Copper Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  231,000  in Merdeka Copper Gold on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  133,000  from holding Merdeka Copper Gold or generate 57.58% return on investment over 90 days. Merdeka Copper Gold is generating 0.8347% of daily returns and assumes 4.1598% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 37% of stocks are less volatile than Merdeka, and 84% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merdeka Copper is expected to generate 5.48 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Merdeka Copper Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Merdeka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,750 90 days 3,750 
roughly 2.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merdeka Copper to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.41 (This Merdeka Copper Gold probability density function shows the probability of Merdeka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merdeka Copper has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Merdeka Copper average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Merdeka Copper Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Merdeka Copper Gold has an alpha of 0.7493, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Merdeka Copper Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Merdeka Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merdeka Copper Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6363,6403,644
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7872,7914,004
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,2584,2624,266
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-8,7683,5144,128
Details

Merdeka Copper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merdeka Copper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merdeka Copper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merdeka Copper Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merdeka Copper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
501.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Merdeka Copper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merdeka Copper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merdeka Copper Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Merdeka Copper Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Merdeka Copper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merdeka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merdeka Copper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merdeka Copper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments234 M

Merdeka Copper Fundamentals Growth

Merdeka Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Merdeka Copper, and Merdeka Copper fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Merdeka Stock performance.

About Merdeka Copper Performance

By examining Merdeka Copper's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Merdeka Copper's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Merdeka Copper is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Merdeka Copper Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Merdeka Copper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Merdeka Copper Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Merdeka Copper Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Merdeka Copper's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Merdeka Copper's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Merdeka Copper's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Merdeka Copper's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Merdeka Copper's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Merdeka Copper's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Merdeka Copper's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Merdeka Copper's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Merdeka Copper's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Merdeka Copper's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Merdeka Copper's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Merdeka Stock

Merdeka Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether Merdeka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Merdeka with respect to the benefits of owning Merdeka Copper security.