Merdeka Copper (Indonesia) Price Patterns

MDKA Stock  IDR 3,820  30.00  0.79%   
As of now, The value of RSI of Merdeka Copper's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Merdeka Copper, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Merdeka Copper's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Merdeka Copper Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Merdeka Copper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merdeka Copper Gold from the perspective of Merdeka Copper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Merdeka Copper to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Merdeka because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Merdeka Copper after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 3790.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Merdeka Copper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7422,7464,169
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,3584,3624,367
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-8,0403,3953,966
Details

Merdeka Copper After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Merdeka Copper at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merdeka Copper or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Merdeka Copper, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Merdeka Copper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Merdeka Copper's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merdeka Copper's historical news coverage. Merdeka Copper's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3,786 and 3,794, respectively. We have considered Merdeka Copper's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3,820
3,790
After-hype Price
3,794
Upside
Merdeka Copper is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merdeka Copper Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.

Merdeka Copper Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Merdeka Copper is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merdeka Copper backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merdeka Copper, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.93 
4.10
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3,820
3,790
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Merdeka Copper Hype Timeline

Merdeka Copper Gold is now traded for 3,820on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Merdeka is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.93%. %. The volatility of related hype on Merdeka Copper is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3,820. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 55.28. Merdeka Copper Gold had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:1 split on the 18th of October 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Merdeka Copper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Merdeka Copper Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Merdeka Copper's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merdeka Copper's future price movements. Getting to know how Merdeka Copper's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merdeka Copper may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PTROPetrosea Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.59 (12.93) 25.91 
INCOVale Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 2.55  0.23  8.03 (5.14) 20.58 
EMASPT Merdeka Gold 0.00 0 per month 2.43  0.24  10.97 (4.55) 28.14 
NCKLPT Trimegah Bangun 0.00 0 per month 2.60  0.19  6.10 (5.39) 19.62 
ANTMAneka Tambang Persero 0.00 0 per month 2.78  0.17  5.54 (4.51) 21.10 
UNTRUnited Tractors Tbk 0.00 0 per month 3.49  0.04  6.40 (4.86) 21.82 
TINSTimah Persero Tbk 0.00 0 per month 3.07  0.12  8.42 (4.89) 22.04 
INKPIndah Kiat Pulp 0.00 0 per month 2.94  0.17  7.00 (4.85) 20.75 
CITACita Mineral Investindo 0.00 0 per month 1.95  0.03  4.49 (3.29) 15.87 
ARCIArchi Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 3.28  0.16  7.69 (5.54) 39.66 

Merdeka Copper Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Merdeka price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merdeka using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merdeka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Merdeka Copper Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Merdeka Copper stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merdeka Copper Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merdeka Copper based on analysis of Merdeka Copper hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Merdeka Copper's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Merdeka Copper's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Merdeka Stock

Merdeka Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether Merdeka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Merdeka with respect to the benefits of owning Merdeka Copper security.