Middlebury National Stock Performance

MDVT Stock  USD 46.05  0.15  0.32%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Middlebury National holds a performance score of 19. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.42, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Middlebury National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Middlebury National is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Middlebury National's sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Middlebury National's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Middlebury National are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Middlebury National unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Middlebury National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,721  in Middlebury National on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  884.00  from holding Middlebury National or generate 23.76% return on investment over 90 days. Middlebury National is currently generating 0.3662% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4721% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of pink sheets are less volatile than Middlebury, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Middlebury National is expected to generate 1.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Middlebury National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Middlebury Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 46.05 90 days 46.05 
about 19.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Middlebury National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.07 (This Middlebury National probability density function shows the probability of Middlebury Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Middlebury National has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Middlebury National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Middlebury National will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Middlebury National has an alpha of 0.3262, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Middlebury National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Middlebury National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Middlebury National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlebury National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.5746.0447.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.9935.4650.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.5845.0646.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.6245.5946.57
Details

Middlebury National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Middlebury National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Middlebury National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Middlebury National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Middlebury National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
3.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Middlebury National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Middlebury National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Middlebury National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Middlebury National Fundamentals Growth

Middlebury Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Middlebury National, and Middlebury National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Middlebury Pink Sheet performance.

About Middlebury National Performance

Assessing Middlebury National's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Middlebury National's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Middlebury National is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers. Middlebury National Corporation was founded in 1831 and is based in Middlebury, Vermont. Middlebury Natl operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Middlebury National performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Middlebury National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Middlebury National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Middlebury National's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Middlebury National's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Middlebury National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Middlebury National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Middlebury National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Middlebury National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Middlebury National's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Middlebury National's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Middlebury National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Middlebury National's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Middlebury National's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Middlebury Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Middlebury National's price analysis, check to measure Middlebury National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Middlebury National is operating at the current time. Most of Middlebury National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Middlebury National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Middlebury National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Middlebury National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.