Mogu Inc Stock Performance
| MOGU Stock | USD 2.48 0.02 0.80% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.01, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. MOGU returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MOGU is expected to follow. At this point, MOGU Inc has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to verify MOGU's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if MOGU Inc performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MOGU Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.80) | Five Day Return 30.53 | Year To Date Return 15.35 | Ten Year Return (98.52) | All Time Return (98.52) |
Last Split Factor 1:12 | Last Split Date 2022-03-28 |
1 | How MOGU Inc. American Depositary Shares stock stacks up against competitors - 2025 Analyst Calls Capital Protection Trading Alerts - newser.com | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Why MOGU Inc. American Depositary Shares stock stays on buy lists - July 2025 Short Interest Smart Money Movement Alerts - Newser | 12/02/2025 |
3 | Why analysts raise outlook for MOGU Inc. American Depositary Shares stock - 2025 Volatility Report Risk Managed Trade Strategies - Blm Sonu Canavar | 12/19/2025 |
4 | MOGU Announces Strategic Investment in AI Infrastructure Company | 12/29/2025 |
5 | MOGU Invests RMB 0.1 Billion in AI Infrastructure Firm to Bolster Tech Capabilities - The Globe and Mail | 12/30/2025 |
6 | How interest rate cuts could boost MOGU Inc. Depositary Receipt stock - Trade Performance Summary Reliable Entry Point Trade Alerts - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Investors Dont See Light At End Of MOGU Inc.s Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26 percent - simplywall.st | 01/14/2026 |
8 | MOGU Announces Unaudited Financial Results for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2025 | 01/29/2026 |
9 | MOGU Inc Volatility Clues You Should Track Nyse Composite Today | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 359.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -207.9 M |
MOGU Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 288.00 in MOGU Inc on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (40.00) from holding MOGU Inc or give up 13.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. MOGU Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.5338% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 40% of stocks are less volatile than MOGU, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MOGU Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MOGU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.48 | 90 days | 2.48 | about 44.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MOGU to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.32 (This MOGU Inc probability density function shows the probability of MOGU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
MOGU Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MOGU
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MOGU Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MOGU Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MOGU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MOGU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MOGU Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MOGU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
MOGU Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MOGU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MOGU Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MOGU Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MOGU Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MOGU Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 141.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.47 M. | |
| MOGU Inc currently holds about 637.98 M in cash with (67.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: MOGU Inc Volatility Clues You Should Track Nyse Composite Today |
MOGU Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MOGU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MOGU's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MOGU's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 379.6 M |
MOGU Fundamentals Growth
MOGU Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MOGU, and MOGU fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MOGU Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.11 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0579 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.44) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.53) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (40.71 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 7.16 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (3.70) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.25 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.14 X | ||||
| Revenue | 141.23 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 56.47 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (43.69 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (60.57 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 637.98 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 76.74 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 972 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.23 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 62.27 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (67.92 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.84) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 22.56 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 858.23 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (8.92 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 164.69 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 2.04 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 875.9 M | ||||
About MOGU Performance
Assessing MOGU's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into MOGU's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the MOGU is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.22) | (0.23) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.11) | (0.12) |
Things to note about MOGU Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MOGU for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MOGU Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MOGU Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MOGU Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MOGU Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 141.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.47 M. | |
| MOGU Inc currently holds about 637.98 M in cash with (67.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: MOGU Inc Volatility Clues You Should Track Nyse Composite Today |
- Analyzing MOGU's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MOGU's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MOGU's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MOGU's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MOGU's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MOGU's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MOGU's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for MOGU Stock Analysis
When running MOGU's price analysis, check to measure MOGU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOGU is operating at the current time. Most of MOGU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOGU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOGU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOGU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.