MOGU Valuation

MOGU Stock  USD 2.13  0.09  4.41%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be undervalued. MOGU Inc secures a last-minute Real Value of $2.44 per share. The latest price of the firm is $2.13. Our model forecasts the value of MOGU Inc from inspecting the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.1, and Profit Margin of (0.37) % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting MOGU's valuation include:
Price Book
0.2061
Enterprise Value
-40.9 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(0.60)
Price Sales
0.1045
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.0108
Undervalued
Today
2.13
Please note that MOGU's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of MOGU Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MOGU's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
MOGU's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 2.13, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.13 Real  2.44 Target  3.03 Hype  2.14 Naive  2.01
The intrinsic value of MOGU's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence MOGU's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
2.44
Real Value
7.49
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MOGU Inc helps investors to forecast how MOGU stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MOGU more accurately as focusing exclusively on MOGU's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.147.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.042.017.06
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.763.033.36
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use MOGU's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of MOGU's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against MOGU's closest peers.

MOGU Cash

638.36 Million

MOGU Valuation Trend

MOGU's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of MOGU's financial worth over time. Using both MOGU's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

MOGU Revenue by Product

MOGU Total Value Analysis

MOGU Inc is now forecasted to have valuation of (40.9 M) with market capitalization of 16.75 M, debt of 2.66 M, and cash on hands of 637.98 M. The negative valuation of MOGU may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the MOGU fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(40.9 M)
16.75 M
2.66 M
637.98 M

MOGU Investor Information

About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MOGU Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.83. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:12 split on the 28th of March 2022. Based on the key indicators related to MOGU's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, MOGU Inc may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.

MOGU Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MOGU has an asset utilization ratio of 17.09 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.17 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MOGU Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

MOGU Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of MOGU Inc is $16.75 Million. MOGU Inc secures 15.66 % of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 21.79 % owned by institutional investors. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

MOGU Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 160.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.87 M.

About MOGU Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines MOGU's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of MOGU Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MOGU. We calculate exposure to MOGU's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MOGU's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit69.2 M65.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.41)(0.43)
Operating Profit Margin(0.49)(0.52)
Net Loss(0.37)(0.39)
Gross Profit Margin 0.43  0.66 

MOGU Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as MOGU does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.7 M

MOGU Current Valuation Indicators

MOGU's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final MOGU's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as MOGU, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use MOGU's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes MOGU's worth.

Additional Tools for MOGU Stock Analysis

When running MOGU's price analysis, check to measure MOGU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOGU is operating at the current time. Most of MOGU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOGU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOGU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOGU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.