Hello Group Stock Performance
| MOMO Stock | USD 6.44 0.04 0.63% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Hello's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hello is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Hello Group has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check out Hello's information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Hello Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Hello Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's primary indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.63 | Five Day Return (7.07) | Year To Date Return (5.15) | Ten Year Return (38.26) | All Time Return (62.16) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0569 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1:30 | Dividend Date 2025-04-30 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-04-11 |
1 | Hello Group Inc. Depositary Receipt stock momentum explained - 2025 Support Resistance Safe Entry Zone Tips - newser.com | 11/10/2025 |
2 | Should you continue to rely on Hello management | 12/09/2025 |
3 | Hello Group Inc. Announces Unaudited Financial Results for the Third Quarter of 2025 | 12/10/2025 |
4 | Hello Group Inc.s Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 19 percent Below Its Share Price - Yahoo Finance | 01/07/2026 |
5 | Hello Group Shares Pass Below 200-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat | 01/16/2026 |
6 | Returns On Capital At Hello Group Paint A Concerning Picture | 01/28/2026 |
7 | Investors Arent Entirely Convinced By Hello Group Inc.s Earnings | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 8.3 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -558.9 M |
Hello Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 697.00 in Hello Group on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (53.00) from holding Hello Group or give up 7.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Hello Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.6776% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Hello, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Hello Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Hello Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.44 | 90 days | 6.44 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hello to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Hello Group probability density function shows the probability of Hello Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Hello Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hello
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hello Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hello Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hello is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hello's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hello Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hello within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Hello Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hello for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hello Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hello Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors Arent Entirely Convinced By Hello Group Inc.s Earnings |
Hello Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hello Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hello's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hello's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Hello Fundamentals Growth
Hello Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hello, and Hello fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hello Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0672 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0503 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (216.64 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 119.26 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 3.74 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.64 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.1 X | ||||
| Revenue | 10.56 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.87 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 2.01 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.04 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 10.96 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 55.25 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.58 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.36 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.66 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.28 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.64 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.62 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.03 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 18.38 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 6.64 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 5.61 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 503.84 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 71.94 M | ||||
About Hello Performance
By examining Hello's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Hello's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Hello is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 5.53 | 5.25 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.05 |
Things to note about Hello Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hello for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hello Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hello Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors Arent Entirely Convinced By Hello Group Inc.s Earnings |
- Analyzing Hello's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hello's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Hello's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Hello's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hello's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hello's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hello's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hello Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Interactive Media & Services sector continue expanding? Could Hello diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hello. Expected growth trajectory for Hello significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hello data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Earnings Share 0.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Hello Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Hello's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Hello's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Hello's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Hello's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Hello represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Hello's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.