Moncler Spa Stock Performance

MONRF Stock  USD 59.00  2.00  3.51%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Moncler SpA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Moncler SpA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Moncler SpA has a negative expected return of -0.0258%. Please make sure to verify Moncler SpA's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Moncler SpA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Moncler SpA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Moncler SpA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow923.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-621.4 M
Free Cash Flow733.5 M
  

Moncler SpA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,082  in Moncler SpA on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (182.00) from holding Moncler SpA or give up 2.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. Moncler SpA is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.1653% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Moncler, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Moncler SpA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Moncler SpA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Moncler Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 59.00 90 days 59.00 
over 95.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moncler SpA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.58 (This Moncler SpA probability density function shows the probability of Moncler Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Moncler SpA has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Moncler SpA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moncler SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moncler SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Moncler SpA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moncler SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moncler SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.8359.0061.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.6460.8062.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.5455.7157.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.2863.8171.34
Details

Moncler SpA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moncler SpA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moncler SpA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moncler SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moncler SpA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Moncler SpA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moncler SpA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moncler SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moncler SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moncler SpA Fundamentals Growth

Moncler Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Moncler SpA, and Moncler SpA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Moncler Pink Sheet performance.

About Moncler SpA Performance

By analyzing Moncler SpA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Moncler SpA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Moncler SpA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Moncler SpA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Moncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and distributes clothing and related accessories for men, women, and children under the Moncler and Stone Island brand names. Moncler S.p.A. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy. Moncler SPA operates under Apparel Manufacturing classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 5033 people.

Things to note about Moncler SpA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moncler SpA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Moncler SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moncler SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Moncler SpA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Moncler SpA's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Moncler SpA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Moncler SpA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Moncler SpA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Moncler SpA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Moncler SpA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Moncler SpA's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Moncler SpA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Moncler SpA's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Moncler SpA's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Moncler Pink Sheet analysis

When running Moncler SpA's price analysis, check to measure Moncler SpA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moncler SpA is operating at the current time. Most of Moncler SpA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moncler SpA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moncler SpA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moncler SpA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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