Merck Co Stock Performance

MRK Stock   27.83  0.87  3.23%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Merck holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Merck's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merck is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merck's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Merck's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merck Co are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Merck displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0316
Payout Ratio
0.3246
Forward Dividend Rate
0.75
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Guggenheim Lifts PT on Merck Co. to 122 From 104 - Finviz
12/10/2025
2
Why Merck Outpaced the Stock Market Today - Yahoo Finance
12/24/2025
3
Breaking Down Merck Co 10 Analysts Share Their Views - Benzinga
01/07/2026
4
Kera Capital Partners Inc. Buys 9,382 Shares of Merck Co., Inc. MRK - MarketBeat
01/14/2026
5
Merck Co., Inc. MRK Shares Sold by J. Safra Sarasin Holding AG - MarketBeat
01/27/2026
6
Bernstein raises Merck stock price target to 100 on pipeline optimism - Investing.com
02/04/2026
7
Merck splits drug business as 80 late-stage trials feed 20 new growth drivers - Stock Titan
02/23/2026
  

Merck Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,281  in Merck Co on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  502.00  from holding Merck Co or generate 22.01% return on investment over 90 days. Merck Co is generating 0.3335% of daily returns and assumes 1.5712% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Merck, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merck is expected to generate 2.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Merck Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Merck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.83 90 days 27.83 
nearly 4.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merck to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.09 (This Merck Co probability density function shows the probability of Merck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merck has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Merck average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Merck Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Merck Co has an alpha of 0.3119, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Merck Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Merck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merck. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4528.0329.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7029.2830.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.0126.5928.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8327.8327.83
Details

Merck Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merck Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Merck Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merck can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Merck Fundamentals Growth

Merck Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Merck, and Merck fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Merck Stock performance.

About Merck Performance

By examining Merck's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Merck's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Merck is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Merck is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on NEO exchange.

Things to note about Merck performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Merck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Merck help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Merck's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Merck's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Merck's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Merck's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Merck's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Merck's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Merck's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Merck's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Merck's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Merck's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Merck's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Merck Stock

Merck financial ratios help investors to determine whether Merck Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Merck with respect to the benefits of owning Merck security.