Microsoft (Germany) Performance
| MSF Stock | EUR 413.00 0.00 0.00% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0204, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Microsoft are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Microsoft is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's variance, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and information ratio , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Microsoft has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 14.2 B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 65.1 B |
Microsoft |
Microsoft Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 44,811 in Microsoft on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,511) from holding Microsoft or give up 7.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. Microsoft is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.1646% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 10% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Microsoft, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Microsoft Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Microsoft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 413.00 | 90 days | 413.00 | about 72.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Microsoft to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.11 (This Microsoft probability density function shows the probability of Microsoft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Microsoft has a beta of -0.0204. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Microsoft are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Microsoft is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Microsoft has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Microsoft Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Microsoft
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microsoft. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Microsoft Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Microsoft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Microsoft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Microsoft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Microsoft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Microsoft Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Microsoft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Microsoft can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Microsoft generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Microsoft Fundamentals Growth
Microsoft Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Microsoft, and Microsoft fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Microsoft Stock performance.
| Current Valuation | 1.77 T | |||
| Price To Book | 10.96 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 9.45 X | |||
| Revenue | 198.27 B | |||
| EBITDA | 100.24 B | |||
| Total Debt | 47.03 B | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 89.03 B | |||
| Total Asset | 364.84 B | |||
About Microsoft Performance
By analyzing Microsoft's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Microsoft's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Microsoft has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Microsoft has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Things to note about Microsoft performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Microsoft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Microsoft help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Microsoft generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
- Analyzing Microsoft's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Microsoft's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Microsoft's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Microsoft's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Microsoft's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Microsoft's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Microsoft's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Microsoft Stock analysis
When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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