Meritage Stock Performance

MTH Stock  USD 75.44  0.86  1.15%   
Meritage has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.27, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Meritage will likely underperform. Meritage right now secures a risk of 2.36%. Please verify Meritage value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Meritage will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Meritage are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Meritage is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.15
Five Day Return
(3.48)
Year To Date Return
13.91
Ten Year Return
373.27
All Time Return
1.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0255
Payout Ratio
0.2731
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.92
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
1
We Think Mithril Silver and Gold Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
12/29/2025
 
Meritage dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
2
Meritage Homes Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness
01/28/2026
3
Housing Innovation Challenge Announces Inaugural Academic Teams From Across the Country Competing to Build, Showcase, and Deliver Attainable Housing Solutions
02/03/2026
4
Meritage Homes Q3 EPS Reduced by Keefe, Bruyette Woods
02/04/2026
5
Captrust adds 2.4bn in assets with Meritage purchase
02/05/2026
6
Mithril Expands Copalquin Footprint with Strong Drilling
02/11/2026
7
Lodge Hill Capital LLC Invests 21.73 Million in Meritage Homes Corporation MTH
02/13/2026
8
Disposition of 680 shares by Alison Sasser of Meritage at 79.46 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/18/2026
9
Acquisition by Michael R. Odell of 3100 shares of Meritage subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2026
10
Meritage Homes raises quarterly dividend by 12 percent to 0.48share
02/20/2026
11
Mithril Resources Identifies New Exploration Targets at La Dura Project
02/24/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow651.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-57.7 M

Meritage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,251  in Meritage on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  293.00  from holding Meritage or generate 4.04% return on investment over 90 days. Meritage is generating 0.0927% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3575% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Meritage, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Meritage is expected to generate 3.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Meritage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Meritage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 75.44 90 days 75.44 
about 23.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meritage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.0 (This Meritage probability density function shows the probability of Meritage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Meritage will likely underperform. Additionally Meritage has an alpha of 0.0965, implying that it can generate a 0.0965 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Meritage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Meritage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meritage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meritage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.0875.4277.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.9078.1980.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.7677.1079.43
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
74.7382.1291.16
Details

Meritage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meritage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meritage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meritage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meritage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
4.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Meritage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meritage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meritage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meritage is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Meritage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Meritage paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finnewsnetwork.com.au: Mithril Resources Identifies New Exploration Targets at La Dura Project

Meritage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meritage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meritage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meritage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments775.2 M

Meritage Fundamentals Growth

Meritage Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Meritage, and Meritage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Meritage Stock performance.

About Meritage Performance

By evaluating Meritage's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Meritage's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Meritage has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Meritage has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 479.68  302.22 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 

Things to note about Meritage performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meritage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Meritage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meritage is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Meritage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Meritage paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finnewsnetwork.com.au: Mithril Resources Identifies New Exploration Targets at La Dura Project
Evaluating Meritage's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Meritage's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Meritage's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Meritage's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Meritage's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Meritage's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Meritage's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Meritage's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Meritage's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Meritage's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Meritage's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Meritage Stock analysis

When running Meritage's price analysis, check to measure Meritage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meritage is operating at the current time. Most of Meritage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meritage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meritage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meritage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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