Nicholas Fund Inc Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

NICSX Fund  USD 101.38  0.46  0.46%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.77, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nicholas Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nicholas Fund is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nicholas Fund Inc are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Nicholas Fund may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
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Expense Ratio Date29th of July 2022
Expense Ratio0.7000
  

Nicholas Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,456  in Nicholas Fund Inc on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  682.00  from holding Nicholas Fund Inc or generate 7.21% return on investment over 90 days. Nicholas Fund Inc is currently producing 0.1115% returns and takes up 0.7348% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Nicholas, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nicholas Fund is expected to generate 1.13 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.05 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Nicholas Fund Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
101.38
Please note that Nicholas Fund's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Nicholas Fund secures a last-minute Real Value of $90.23 per share. The latest price of the fund is $101.38. We determine the value of Nicholas Fund from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Nicholas Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Nicholas Mutual Fund. However, Nicholas Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  101.38 Real  90.23 Hype  101.38 Naive  101.27
The intrinsic value of Nicholas Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Nicholas Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
90.23
Real Value
111.52
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nicholas Fund Inc helps investors to forecast how Nicholas mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Nicholas Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Nicholas Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.96100.96101.96
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.65101.38102.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
100.54101.27102.01
Details

Nicholas Fund Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nicholas Fund's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Nicholas Fund Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Nicholas Fund's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1518

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.73
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.11
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.15
  actual daily
11
89% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Nicholas Fund is performing at about 11% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Nicholas Fund by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Nicholas Fund Fundamentals Growth

Nicholas Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nicholas Fund, and Nicholas Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nicholas Mutual Fund performance.

About Nicholas Fund Performance

Evaluating Nicholas Fund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Nicholas Fund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nicholas Fund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily invests in common stocks of domestic small, medium- and large-sized companies believed to have growth potential. The adviser believes a companys annual sales volume and market capitalization are the factors most illustrative of a companys size. In distinguishing company size in terms of sales volume, the adviser considers a companys sales volume relative to peer companies in the companys industry.

Things to note about Nicholas Fund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nicholas Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Nicholas Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.65% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Nicholas Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nicholas Fund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Nicholas Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nicholas Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nicholas Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nicholas Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nicholas Fund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nicholas Fund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Nicholas Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nicholas Fund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nicholas Fund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Nicholas Mutual Fund

Nicholas Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nicholas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nicholas with respect to the benefits of owning Nicholas Fund security.
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