Nicholas Fund Inc Fund Technical Analysis
| NICSX Fund | USD 87.48 0.15 0.17% |
As of the 5th of February, Nicholas Fund secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0182, mean deviation of 0.613, and Downside Deviation of 0.8611. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Nicholas Fund, as well as the relationship between them.
Nicholas Fund Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Nicholas, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NicholasNicholas |
Nicholas Fund 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nicholas Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nicholas Fund.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Nicholas Fund on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nicholas Fund Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nicholas Fund over 90 days. Nicholas Fund is related to or competes with Alger Health, Live Oak, T Rowe, Deutsche Health, Deutsche Health, Blackrock Health, and Prudential Health. The fund primarily invests in common stocks of domestic small, medium- and large-sized companies believed to have growth... More
Nicholas Fund Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nicholas Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nicholas Fund Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8611 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.3 |
Nicholas Fund Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nicholas Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nicholas Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nicholas Fund historical prices to predict the future Nicholas Fund's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0135 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nicholas Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nicholas Fund February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0235 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.613 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8059 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8611 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4379.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8607 | |||
| Variance | 0.7409 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0135 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7416 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6495 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) | |||
| Skewness | 0.7968 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.01 |
Nicholas Fund Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Nicholas Mutual Fund to be very steady. Nicholas Fund has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0471, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0471 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Nicholas Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Nicholas Fund's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0182, mean deviation of 0.613, and Downside Deviation of 0.8611 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0413%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.71, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nicholas Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nicholas Fund is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.37 |
Poor reverse predictability
Nicholas Fund Inc has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nicholas Fund time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nicholas Fund price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Nicholas Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.37 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.49 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.75 |
Nicholas Fund technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Nicholas Fund Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Nicholas Fund volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Nicholas Fund Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Nicholas Fund Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nicholas Fund Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Nicholas Fund price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Nicholas Fund. By analyzing Nicholas Fund's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Nicholas Fund's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Nicholas Fund specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Nicholas Fund February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Nicholas help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nicholas from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Nicholas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0235 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.613 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8059 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8611 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4379.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8607 | |||
| Variance | 0.7409 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0135 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7416 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6495 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) | |||
| Skewness | 0.7968 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.01 |
Nicholas Fund February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nicholas stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 87.48 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 87.48 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) |
Other Information on Investing in Nicholas Mutual Fund
Nicholas Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nicholas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nicholas with respect to the benefits of owning Nicholas Fund security.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes |