Northland Power Stock Performance

NPI Stock  CAD 19.13  0.15  0.78%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.053, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northland Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northland Power is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Northland Power has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to verify Northland Power's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Northland Power performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northland Power has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0581
Payout Ratio
0.4444
Forward Dividend Rate
1.12
Dividend Date
2026-02-17
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-30
1
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NORTHLAND POWER INC To Go Ex-Dividend On January 30th, 2026 With 0.04311 USD Dividend Per Share -
01/15/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow813.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-468.8 M
  

Northland Power Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,509  in Northland Power on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (596.00) from holding Northland Power or give up 23.75% of portfolio value over 90 days. Northland Power is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.8226% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 34% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Northland Power, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Northland Power is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Northland Power Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.13 90 days 19.13 
about 55.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northland Power to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.05 (This Northland Power probability density function shows the probability of Northland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Northland Power has a beta of -0.053. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Northland Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Northland Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Northland Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Northland Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northland Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northland Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2919.1122.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1518.9722.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.0020.8224.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.400.56
Details

Northland Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northland Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northland Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northland Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northland Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
3.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Northland Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northland Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northland Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northland Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northland Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Northland Power has accumulated 7.44 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.12, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Northland Power has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Northland Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northland Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northland Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northland Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: NORTHLAND POWER INC To Go Ex-Dividend On January 30th, 2026 With 0.04311 USD Dividend Per Share -

Northland Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northland Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northland Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding257.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments613.3 M

Northland Power Fundamentals Growth

Northland Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northland Power, and Northland Power fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northland Stock performance.

About Northland Power Performance

By examining Northland Power's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Northland Power's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Northland Power is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 28.38  24.49 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.06 

Things to note about Northland Power performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northland Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Northland Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northland Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northland Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Northland Power has accumulated 7.44 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.12, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Northland Power has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Northland Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northland Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northland Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northland Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: NORTHLAND POWER INC To Go Ex-Dividend On January 30th, 2026 With 0.04311 USD Dividend Per Share -
Evaluating Northland Power's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northland Power's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Northland Power's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northland Power's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northland Power's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northland Power's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northland Power's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northland Power's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Northland Power's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northland Power's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northland Power's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Northland Stock

Northland Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northland with respect to the benefits of owning Northland Power security.