National Rural Utilities Stock Performance

NRUC Stock  USD 24.62  0.18  0.74%   
National Rural has a performance score of 17 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0787, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Rural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Rural is expected to be smaller as well. National Rural Utilities right now secures a risk of 0.49%. Please verify National Rural Utilities expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if National Rural Utilities will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Rural Utilities are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, National Rural may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.74
Five Day Return
0.53
Year To Date Return
3.06
Ten Year Return
(1.83)
All Time Return
(1.83)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0276
Dividend Date
2026-02-17
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National Rural dividend paid on 17th of February 2026
02/17/2026

National Rural Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,312  in National Rural Utilities on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  150.00  from holding National Rural Utilities or generate 6.49% return on investment over 90 days. National Rural Utilities is currently generating 0.106% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.4869% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 4% of stocks are less volatile than National, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Rural is expected to generate 0.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.49 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

National Rural Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.62 90 days 24.62 
about 5.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Rural to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.48 (This National Rural Utilities probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Rural has a beta of 0.0787. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Rural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Rural Utilities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Rural Utilities has an alpha of 0.0795, implying that it can generate a 0.0795 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   National Rural Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for National Rural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Rural Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Rural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1424.6225.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7224.2024.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2724.7525.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.4324.4527.47
Details

National Rural Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Rural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Rural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Rural Utilities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Rural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

National Rural Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Rural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Rural Utilities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Rural is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 17th of February 2026 National Rural paid $ 0.3438 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: CFC To Host Conference Call on Fiscal Year 2026 Second-Quarter Financial Results

National Rural Fundamentals Growth

National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National Rural, and National Rural fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.

About National Rural Performance

By analyzing National Rural's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into National Rural's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if National Rural has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if National Rural has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.00  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.07 

Things to note about National Rural Utilities performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about National Rural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National Rural Utilities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Rural is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 17th of February 2026 National Rural paid $ 0.3438 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: CFC To Host Conference Call on Fiscal Year 2026 Second-Quarter Financial Results
Evaluating National Rural's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate National Rural's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing National Rural's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National Rural's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining National Rural's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating National Rural's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National Rural's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National Rural's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National Rural's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating National Rural's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact National Rural's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running National Rural's price analysis, check to measure National Rural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Rural is operating at the current time. Most of National Rural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Rural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Rural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Rural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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