Northern Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

NSGRX Fund  USD 32.20  0.52  1.64%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.37, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Northern Small will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Small Cap are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Northern Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
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3 Small-Cap Growth Mutual Funds Worthy of Your Attention - Yahoo Finance
09/25/2024
Expense Ratio Date29th of July 2022
Expense Ratio0.6300
  

Northern Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,995  in Northern Small Cap on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  225.00  from holding Northern Small Cap or generate 7.51% return on investment over 90 days. Northern Small Cap is currently producing 0.1186% returns and takes up 1.213% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Northern, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Small is expected to generate 1.59 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Northern Small Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
32.20
Please note that Northern Small's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Northern Small Cap secures a last-minute Real Value of $31.77 per share. The latest price of the fund is $32.2. We determine the value of Northern Small Cap from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Northern Small is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Northern Mutual Fund. However, Northern Small's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.2 Real  31.77 Hype  32.16 Naive  31.27
The intrinsic value of Northern Small's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Northern Small's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
31.77
Real Value
32.98
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northern Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Northern mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northern Small more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northern Small's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.5432.0332.52
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9532.1633.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
30.0631.2732.49
Details

Northern Small Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Small's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Northern Small Cap, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Northern Small's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0978

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.21
  actual daily
10
90% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.12
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.1
  actual daily
7
93% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Northern Small is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Northern Small by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Northern Small Fundamentals Growth

Northern Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Small, and Northern Small fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Mutual Fund performance.

About Northern Small Performance

Evaluating Northern Small's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Northern Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small capitalization companies. Small capitalization companies generally are considered to be those whose market capitalization is, at the time the fund makes an investment, within the range of the market capitalization of companies in the Russell 2000 Index. Many of the companies in which the fund invests retain their earnings to finance current and future growth. These companies generally pay little or no dividends.

Things to note about Northern Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Northern Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.75% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Northern Small's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northern Small's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Northern Small's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern Small's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northern Small's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northern Small's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern Small's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern Small's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Northern Small's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northern Small's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northern Small's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Small security.
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