Nutrien Stock Performance

NTR Stock  USD 70.23  0.65  0.92%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Nutrien holds a performance score of 14. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.37, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nutrien's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nutrien is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Nutrien's downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and relative strength index , to make a quick decision on whether Nutrien's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nutrien are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively conflicting basic indicators, Nutrien reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.92)
Five Day Return
2.39
Year To Date Return
11.19
Ten Year Return
28.27
All Time Return
28.27
Forward Dividend Yield
0.031
Payout Ratio
0.5396
Last Split Factor
0.4:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.18
Dividend Date
2026-01-16
1
Nutrien Ltd. Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/07/2025
2
Can Nutriens Cost Savings Drive Sustained Future Momentum
11/26/2025
3
Acquisition by Fierro Joseph V of 500 shares of Nutrien at 4.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
4
Mizuho Raises Nutrien Price Target to 65.00
12/18/2025
5
Mizuho Lifts Target on Nutrien as Sector Pressures Persist
12/29/2025
6
Nutrien Ltd. Delivers Portfolio Simplification and Growth Focus After Strong 2025 Rally
01/08/2026
7
Acquisition by Sherman Jerome F of 2000 shares of Nutrien at 8.22 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/13/2026
8
Strength Seen in Nutrien Can Its 7.9 percent Jump Turn into More Strength
01/15/2026
 
Nutrien dividend paid on 16th of January 2026
01/16/2026
9
Nutrien stock earns 82 relative strength rating - MSN
01/21/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow941 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.1 B

Nutrien Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,595  in Nutrien on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,428  from holding Nutrien or generate 25.52% return on investment over 90 days. Nutrien is generating 0.402% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.1483% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Nutrien, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nutrien is expected to generate 2.88 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Nutrien Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nutrien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 70.23 90 days 70.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nutrien to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nutrien probability density function shows the probability of Nutrien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nutrien has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nutrien average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nutrien will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nutrien has an alpha of 0.3413, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nutrien Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nutrien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nutrien. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nutrien's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.0970.2372.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.2178.0380.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.8775.0077.14
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
62.7268.9276.50
Details

Nutrien Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nutrien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nutrien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nutrien, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nutrien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
4.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Nutrien Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nutrien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nutrien can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of January 2026 Nutrien paid $ 0.545 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nutrien stock earns 82 relative strength rating - MSN

Nutrien Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nutrien Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nutrien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nutrien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding494.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments853 M

Nutrien Fundamentals Growth

Nutrien Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nutrien, and Nutrien fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nutrien Stock performance.

About Nutrien Performance

Assessing Nutrien's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Nutrien's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Nutrien is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 139.93  118.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Nutrien performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nutrien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nutrien help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of January 2026 Nutrien paid $ 0.545 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nutrien stock earns 82 relative strength rating - MSN
Evaluating Nutrien's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nutrien's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nutrien's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nutrien's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nutrien's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nutrien's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nutrien's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nutrien's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nutrien's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nutrien's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nutrien's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Nutrien Stock Analysis

When running Nutrien's price analysis, check to measure Nutrien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nutrien is operating at the current time. Most of Nutrien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nutrien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nutrien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nutrien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.