Nutrien Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTR Stock  USD 50.90  0.20  0.39%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Nutrien is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Nutrien within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Nutrien Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Nutrien Stock, please use our How to Invest in Nutrien guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nutrien and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nutrien. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Nutrien Buy or Sell Advice

The Nutrien recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nutrien. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nutrien or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nutrien's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NutrienBuy Nutrien
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Nutrien has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0505, Jensen Alpha of 0.1027, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1007, Sortino Ratio of 0.0657 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1545
Our advice tool can be used to complement Nutrien investment recommendation provided by experts. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Nutrien is not overpriced, please verify all Nutrien fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Nutrien has a price to earning of 75.49 X, we recommend you to check Nutrien market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Nutrien Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 17th of January 2025 Nutrien paid $ 0.54 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Fertilizer shares slide after Trump says Ukraine war talks to begin

Nutrien Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nutrien's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nutrien's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nutrien daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nutrien price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nutrien returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nutrien.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.67
Potential Upside
3.42
Standard Deviation
1.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nutrien historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nutrien Stock Institutional Investors

The Nutrien's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Nutrien's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Mackenzie Investments2024-09-30
8.3 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-09-30
6.4 M
Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd.2024-09-30
6.3 M
Black Creek Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
6.3 M
Arga Investment Management, Lp2024-12-31
M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-09-30
5.9 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-09-30
5.6 M
Td Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
5.2 M
Cibc World Markets Inc.2024-12-31
5.1 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-09-30
36.5 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
19.7 M
Note, although Nutrien's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nutrien Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory85M(1.5B)(1.3B)1.4B1.2B1.3B
Change In Cash783M(955M)402M40M46M30.5M
Depreciation2.0B2.0B2.0B2.2B2.5B2.6B
Other Non Cash Items241M250M(686M)1.1B1.3B1.3B
Dividends Paid1.0B1.0B1.0B1.0B1.2B1.2B
Capital Expenditures1.5B1.8B2.4B2.7B3.1B3.2B
Net Income459M3.2B7.7B1.3B1.5B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow1.5B499M901M941M1.1B1.1B
Change To Netincome384M301M443M(414M)(372.6M)(354.0M)
Net Borrowings482M(134M)(1.1B)672M604.8M635.0M
Investments438M(1.8B)(2.9B)(3.4B)(3.1B)(2.9B)

Nutrien Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nutrien or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nutrien's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nutrien stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Nutrien Volatility Alert

Nutrien has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.44 and kurtosis of 0.58. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nutrien's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nutrien's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Nutrien Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nutrien's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nutrien's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nutrien and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nutrien or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nutrien's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nutrien by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nutrien to competition
FundamentalsNutrienPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0302-0.31
Return On Asset0.0315-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation39.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding493.43 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions69.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.78 M4.71 M
Price To Earning75.49 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.01 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.98 X11.42 X
Revenue28.08 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.72 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.88 B3.9 B
Net Income1.28 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents711 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share50.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.07 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.03 X4.89 X
Target Price59.24
Number Of Employees25.9 K18.84 K
Beta0.95-0.15
Market Capitalization25.12 B19.03 B
Total Asset52.75 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings11.53 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.05 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Fierro Joseph V of 1000 shares of Nutrien at 4.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Nutrien Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nutrien . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Nutrien Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nutrien? Buying financial instruments such as Nutrien Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nutrien in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Junk Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now

Junk Bonds Funds
Junk Bonds Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest most of their assets into speculative (junk) bonds or to other fixed income instruments with interest rates 3 to 4 percentage points above government issues. The Junk Bonds Funds theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Junk Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Nutrien Stock Analysis

When running Nutrien's price analysis, check to measure Nutrien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nutrien is operating at the current time. Most of Nutrien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nutrien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nutrien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nutrien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.