Nvidia Stock Performance
| NVDA Stock | USD 185.41 13.53 7.87% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.0, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. NVIDIA returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NVIDIA is expected to follow. At this point, NVIDIA has a negative expected return of -0.0913%. Please make sure to verify NVIDIA's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if NVIDIA performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days NVIDIA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental indicators, NVIDIA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 7.87 | Five Day Return (0.96) | Year To Date Return (1.82) | Ten Year Return 29.3 K | All Time Return 451.9 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0002 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 10:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.04 | Dividend Date 2025-12-26 |
1 | Rivian Doesnt Need Nvidia for Self-Driving Cars. Should Nvidia Investors Be Worried | 12/16/2025 |
| NVIDIA dividend paid on 26th of December 2025 | 12/26/2025 |
2 | Boston Dynamics announces production-ready version of Atlas robot at CES 2026 | 01/05/2026 |
3 | Insider Trading | 01/20/2026 |
4 | AI Bubble or Sustainable Growth Here Are 2 Healthcare Companies Harnessing AI for the Long Term. | 01/23/2026 |
5 | Wall Street indexes close higher ahead of earnings, Fed meeting | 01/26/2026 |
6 | Is Royal Gold Using the TD Cowen Stage to Recast Its Capital Allocation Story | 01/29/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 528 shares by Colette Kress of NVIDIA at 179.1607 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/04/2026 |
8 | Nvidia might not have any new gaming GPUs in 2026 and could be slashing production of existing GeForce models | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 7.3 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -20.4 B |
NVIDIA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 19,904 in NVIDIA on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,363) from holding NVIDIA or give up 6.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. NVIDIA is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.1724% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than NVIDIA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
NVIDIA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of NVIDIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 185.41 | 90 days | 185.41 | about 47.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NVIDIA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.89 (This NVIDIA probability density function shows the probability of NVIDIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
NVIDIA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NVIDIA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NVIDIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVIDIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NVIDIA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NVIDIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NVIDIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NVIDIA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NVIDIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
NVIDIA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NVIDIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NVIDIA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NVIDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of December 2025 NVIDIA paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Warren Buffett Knocked Out Of Top 10 Richest People List Thanks To Walmart |
NVIDIA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NVIDIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NVIDIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NVIDIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.2 B |
NVIDIA Fundamentals Growth
NVIDIA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NVIDIA, and NVIDIA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NVIDIA Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 1.07 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.54 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.53 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.63 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.46 T | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 24.3 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 41.94 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 37.90 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 24.12 X | ||||
| Revenue | 130.5 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 131.09 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 86.14 B | ||||
| Net Income | 72.88 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.14 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.34 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 10.27 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.56 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.39 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.89 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 64.09 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.04 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.51 T | ||||
| Total Asset | 111.6 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 68.04 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 62.08 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 6.05 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 2.35 B | ||||
About NVIDIA Performance
By analyzing NVIDIA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NVIDIA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NVIDIA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NVIDIA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 106.15 | 67.13 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.20 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.15 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | 0.18 |
Things to note about NVIDIA performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about NVIDIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NVIDIA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NVIDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of December 2025 NVIDIA paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Warren Buffett Knocked Out Of Top 10 Richest People List Thanks To Walmart |
- Analyzing NVIDIA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NVIDIA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining NVIDIA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating NVIDIA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NVIDIA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NVIDIA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NVIDIA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for NVIDIA Stock analysis
When running NVIDIA's price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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