NexGen Energy Stock Performance

NXE Stock  USD 12.88  0.76  6.27%   
NexGen Energy's performance page tracks how NexGen Energy has rewarded shareholders across different timeframes. Based on the 3 months horizon, NexGen Energy shows an expected return of 0.3%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
7 · Moderate
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of NexGen Energy is weaker than 7% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The company operates within the Energy sector and the Uranium industry. Recent return data for NexGen Energy reflects positive risk-adjusted momentum, with gains outpacing the volatility required to produce them. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,104 in NexGen Energy on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 184.00 , a return of 16.67% over 90 days. NexGen Energy is generating a 0.2954% daily return assuming volatility of 3.09% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, NexGen Energy exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 73% of comparable stocks, and NXE delivers lower expected returns than 95% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Over a 90-day investment horizon, NXE generates 3.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, NXE is 3.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.1% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NexGen Energy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some stocks remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
12.88 90 days 12.88
about 8.13 %
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NexGen Energy moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 8.13 %. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this stock has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for NexGen Energy Stock over the next 90 days).
Over a 90-day investment horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This indicates when the benchmark rises, NXE tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, NexGen Energy tends to underperform. Additionally, NexGen Energy has an alpha of 0.2603, implying that it can generate a 0.2603 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   NexGen Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NexGen Energy

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the stock market and estimating future values of NexGen Energy. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that NexGen Energy's price will even out over time. Periods when NexGen Energy's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
10.0413.1316.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
11.7014.7917.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9212.0115.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1812.1813.18
Details
Competitive analysis for NexGen Energy compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and NexGen Energy is no exception. NexGen Energy has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to NexGen Energy flag material changes in stock conditions early. NexGen Energy notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
NexGen Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Reported Net Loss for the year was -$309.42 million with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of .
NexGen Energy has about $167.27 million in cash as of latest reporting with -$77.18 million of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 25000 shares by Eric Jacobsen of BKV at 30.9558 subject to Rule 16 b-3

Price Density Drivers

Price dynamics for NexGen Energy Stock are shaped by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. Key indicators for NexGen Energy capture the primary forces influencing short-term price behavior.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding588.4 million
Cash And Short Term Investments1.12 billion

NexGen Energy Fundamentals Growth

NexGen Energy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of NexGen Energy's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape NexGen Energy Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for NexGen Energy evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Consistent positive returns across rolling windows support confidence in structural performance patterns. NexGen Energy shows ROE of -20.57%, ROA of -2.72% (TTM).

NexGen Energy data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Raphi Shpitalnik, Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board